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Spartakas Ukmerge vs Kiemas Vilnius

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Kiemas Vilnius advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Spartakas Ukmerge
28%
Draws
22%
Kiemas Vilnius
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Spartakas Ukmerge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kiemas Vilnius come out ahead of Spartakas Ukmerge on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Spartakas Ukmerge taking it.
  • Kiemas Vilnius arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kiemas Vilnius, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Spartakas Ukmerge Clean Sheet 20%
Kiemas Vilnius Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartakas Ukmerge Kiemas Vilnius
Matches Played 2 5
Wins 0 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 0.5 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2008 Lithuanian Cup
Spartakas Ukmerge vs Kiemas Vilnius
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartakas Ukmerge 49 / 100
Kiemas Vilnius 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartakas Ukmerge Kiemas Vilnius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiemas Vilnius has conceded goals in 80% of their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Kiemas Vilnius has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Spartakas Ukmerge's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Spartakas Ukmerge VS Kiemas Vilnius
0.5 Goals Scored 0.8
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.8
50% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 40%
0% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartakas Ukmerge

(Home)
20 May
Spartakas Ukmerge
1 : 2
Fanai Siauliai
10 May
Spartakas Ukmerge
0 : 1
Kiemas Vilnius

Kiemas Vilnius

(Away)
27 May
Kaunas United
3 : 2
Kiemas Vilnius
10 Jun
Kaunas United
1 : 0
Kiemas Vilnius
16 May
Kiemas Vilnius
0 : 2
Stickers Vilnius
05 Jun
Kiemas Vilnius
1 : 3
Anyksciai
10 May
Spartakas Ukmerge
0 : 1
Kiemas Vilnius

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Atlantas1
LiCS Vilnius0
TBD-
FBK Kaunas-
Tauras Taurage1
Vetra0
TBD-
Ekranas-
Silute5
Jonava1
TBD-
Zalgiris-
Siauliai2
Banga1
TBD-
Suduva-
Quarter-finals
Atlantas0
FBK Kaunas3
Tauras Taurage2
Ekranas0
Silute3
Zalgiris2
Siauliai2
Suduva7
Semi-finals
FBK Kaunas1
Tauras Taurage3
Silute0
Suduva6
Final
Tauras Taurage0
Suduva1