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Spartaks Jurmala vs RFS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Optibet Virsliga 2022 Slokas Stadions, Jūrmala
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Match Events

27' Event
Friesenbichler K.
Assist: Zjuzins A.
34'
Ogunniyi A.
47'
Solovjovs A.

AI Match Summary

The Optibet Virsliga 2022 game between Spartaks Jurmala and RFS finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Spartaks Jurmala
30%
Draws
27%
RFS
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RFS come out ahead of Spartaks Jurmala on wins alone.
  • Model gives Spartaks Jurmala a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors RFS here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 17%
RFS Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartaks Jurmala RFS
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 23
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.1 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2022 Virsliga
RFS vs Spartaks Jurmala
3:0
Jul 9, 2022 Latvian Cup
RFS vs Spartaks Jurmala
4:0
Jun 26, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs RFS
0:2
May 1, 2022 Virsliga
RFS vs Spartaks Jurmala
2:0
Mar 12, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs RFS
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartaks Jurmala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Friesenbichler K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Varslavans R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartaks Jurmala 57 / 100
RFS 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartaks Jurmala RFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartaks Jurmala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Spartaks Jurmala stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Spartaks Jurmala found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: RFS conceded in 50% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS RFS
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartaks Jurmala

(Home)
12 Nov
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
06 Nov
FK Auda Riga
0 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
29 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
FK Metta
22 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
16 Oct
Super Nova
1 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
Page 1 of 6

RFS

(Away)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 36 26 7 3 101:25 85
2 Riga FC 36 26 3 7 68:23 81
3 RFS 36 22 10 4 83:32 76
4 FK Liepaja 36 21 7 8 72:42 70
5 FK Auda Riga 36 15 6 15 42:36 51
6 Tukums 2000 36 11 5 20 38:69 38
7 BFC Daugavpils 36 9 7 20 30:67 34
8 Spartaks Jurmala 36 9 4 23 37:75 31
9 FK Metta 36 5 7 24 41:86 22
10 Super Nova 36 4 8 24 24:81 20
Promotion - Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Optibet Virsliga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Main)