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Spartaks Jurmala vs Riga FC

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Optibet Virsliga 2022 Slokas Stadions, Jūrmala
Spartaks Jurmala Logo

Spartaks Jurmala

1 - 3
FT
Riga FC Logo

Riga FC

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Torres M.
Assist: Soisalo M.
23' Event
Babec H.
Assist: Gabriel Ramos
31'
Markhiev A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Riga FC in this Optibet Virsliga 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riga FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Spartaks Jurmala
30%
Draws
32%
Riga FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Riga FC lately — more wins on the board than Spartaks Jurmala.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Optibet Virsliga 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Riga FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 10%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartaks Jurmala Riga FC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 24
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 1.13 2.41
Goals Conceded 2.1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Riga FC
1:3
Jul 24, 2022 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Spartaks Jurmala
2:1
May 14, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Riga FC
0:4
Apr 5, 2022 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Spartaks Jurmala
3:0
Oct 2, 2021 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Riga FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartaks Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Laizans O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Babec H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartaks Jurmala 29 / 100
Riga FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartaks Jurmala Riga FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartaks Jurmala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Spartaks Jurmala has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Spartaks Jurmala scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Riga FC has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Riga FC
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartaks Jurmala

(Home)
12 Nov
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
06 Nov
FK Auda Riga
0 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
29 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
FK Metta
22 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
16 Oct
Super Nova
1 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
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Riga FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 2
Riga FC
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 36 26 7 3 101:25 85
2 Riga FC 36 26 3 7 68:23 81
3 RFS 36 22 10 4 83:32 76
4 FK Liepaja 36 21 7 8 72:42 70
5 FK Auda Riga 36 15 6 15 42:36 51
6 Tukums 2000 36 11 5 20 38:69 38
7 BFC Daugavpils 36 9 7 20 30:67 34
8 Spartaks Jurmala 36 9 4 23 37:75 31
9 FK Metta 36 5 7 24 41:86 22
10 Super Nova 36 4 8 24 24:81 20
Promotion - Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Optibet Virsliga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Main)