Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Spartaks Jurmala host Ventspils in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Spartaks Jurmala at 1.1 goals for, 2.03 against; Ventspils at 1.08 for, 1.58 against. Past meetings favor Ventspils slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.69, favoring Spartaks Jurmala. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Spartaks Jurmala lately — more wins on the board than Ventspils.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spartaks Jurmala | Ventspils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 12 |
| Wins | 9 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 18 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ventspils let in goals in 83% of their last 12 matches.
Recent resilience: Spartaks Jurmala stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Spartaks Jurmala scored in 61% of their last 31 games.
Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Spartaks Jurmala
(Home)Ventspils
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 65:22 | 66 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 54:19 | 62 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 28 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 47:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Riga FC | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 50 |
| 5 | Spartaks Jurmala | 28 | 11 | 2 | 15 | 40:41 | 35 |
| 6 | BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 37:53 | 32 |
| 7 | FK Metta | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 33:55 | 20 |
| 8 | Noah Jurmala | 28 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 8:96 | 3 |
| 9 | Ventspils | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |