Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spartaks Jurmala vs Ventspils

Latvia Latvia

Optibet Virsliga 2021 Slokas Stadions, Jūrmala
Sat, Jul 31, 2021
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartaks Jurmala host Ventspils in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Spartaks Jurmala at 1.1 goals for, 2.03 against; Ventspils at 1.08 for, 1.58 against. Past meetings favor Ventspils slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.69, favoring Spartaks Jurmala. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Spartaks Jurmala
30%
Draws
19%
Ventspils
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spartaks Jurmala lately — more wins on the board than Ventspils.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 13%
Ventspils Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartaks Jurmala Ventspils
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 9 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.08
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2021 Virsliga
Ventspils vs Spartaks Jurmala
0:0
Aug 18, 2021 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Ventspils
0:0
Jul 31, 2021 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Ventspils
0:0
May 29, 2021 Virsliga
Ventspils vs Spartaks Jurmala
0:0
Oct 17, 2020 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Ventspils
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartaks Jurmala 30 / 100
Ventspils 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartaks Jurmala Ventspils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartaks Jurmala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ventspils let in goals in 83% of their last 12 matches.

Recent resilience: Spartaks Jurmala stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Spartaks Jurmala scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Spartaks Jurmala VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartaks Jurmala

(Home)
12 Nov
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
06 Nov
FK Auda Riga
0 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
29 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
FK Metta
22 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
16 Oct
Super Nova
1 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
Page 1 of 7

Ventspils

(Away)
29 Sept
Noah Jurmala
0 : 3
Ventspils
17 Jun
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 2
Ventspils
29 May
Ventspils
0 : 0
Spartaks Jurmala
23 May
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Ventspils
17 May
Ventspils
2 : 2
Noah Jurmala
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 28 20 6 2 65:22 66
2 Valmiera 28 19 5 4 54:19 62
3 FK Liepaja 28 16 3 9 47:26 51
4 Riga FC 28 14 8 6 54:26 50
5 Spartaks Jurmala 28 11 2 15 40:41 35
6 BFC Daugavpils 28 9 5 14 37:53 32
7 FK Metta 28 5 5 18 33:55 20
8 Noah Jurmala 28 1 0 27 8:96 3
9 Ventspils 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2022 (Main)