Sport Picks
Spartans vs Elgin City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
League Two Ainslie Park, Edinburgh 
Match Events
29'
29'
Gallagher M.
30'
30'
McNulty M.
33'
33'
MacIver J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Spartans and Elgin City finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elgin City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Elgin City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Elgin City's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Spartans Clean Sheet 10%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spartans | Elgin City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 League Two
Spartans vs Elgin City
3:3
Apr 25, 2026 League Two
Spartans vs Elgin City
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 League Two
Elgin City vs Spartans
3:3
Dec 20, 2025 League Two
Spartans vs Elgin City
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 League Two
Elgin City vs Spartans
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spartans Compare
Top Goalscorer McNulty M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dinanga R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Elgin City Compare
Top Goalscorer Hester K.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spartans 18 / 100
Elgin City 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spartans Elgin City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Elgin City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Spartans scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Elgin City has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Spartans went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Spartans VS Elgin City
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Spartans
(Home) 13 Oct
Spartans
1 : 1 Bonnyrigg Rose
10 Oct
Edinburgh City
1 : 3 Spartans
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2 Kelty Hearts
25 Sept
Spartans
1 : 0 Dundee FC B
22 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 0 Spartans
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Spartans
1 : 1 Bonnyrigg Rose
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2 Kelty Hearts
25 Sept
Spartans
1 : 0 Dundee FC B
12 Sept
Spartans
5 : 1 Forfar Athletic
08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4 Hamilton
Page 1 of 3
Elgin City
(Away) 13 Oct
Elgin City
0 : 1 Aberdeen B
10 Oct
Forfar Athletic
1 : 2 Elgin City
03 Oct
Elgin City
6 : 2 Clyde
26 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 1 Elgin City
22 Sept
Elgin City
3 : 0 Dundee FC B
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Forfar Athletic
1 : 2 Elgin City
26 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 1 Elgin City
12 Sept
Annan
2 : 0 Elgin City
05 Sept
Dumbarton
2 : 1 Elgin City
25 Aug
Clachnacuddin
0 : 2 Elgin City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23:9 | 20 |
| 2 | Clyde | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Elgin City | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 27:17 | 17 |
| 4 | Spartans | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 15 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 8 | Stirling | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:23 | 11 |
| 9 | Edinburgh City | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20:18 | 10 |
| 10 | Annan | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:17 | 9 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
