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Spartans vs Elgin City

Scotland Scotland

League Two Ainslie Park, Edinburgh
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartans host Elgin City in the League Two. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Elgin City have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while Spartans have conceded 1.75 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Spartans have won 2 to Elgin City's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.94) back Spartans to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Spartans
39%
Draws
31%
Elgin City
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartans carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Spartans Clean Sheet 10%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartans Elgin City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 League Two
Spartans vs Elgin City
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 League Two
Elgin City vs Spartans
3:3
Dec 20, 2025 League Two
Spartans vs Elgin City
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 League Two
Elgin City vs Spartans
2:3
Mar 22, 2025 League Two
Spartans vs Elgin City
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartans 29 / 100
Elgin City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartans Elgin City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spartans scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Elgin City has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Elgin City lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartans VS Elgin City
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartans

(Home)
01 Aug
Annan
2 : 4
Spartans
25 Jul
Montrose
0 : 2
Spartans
21 Jul
Dundee Utd
4 : 0
Spartans
14 Jul
Spartans
1 : 3
Stirling
11 Jul
Spartans
1 : 2
Arbroath
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Elgin City

(Away)
01 Aug
Edinburgh City
0 : 5
Elgin City
25 Jul
Hamilton
5 : 0
Elgin City
18 Jul
Elgin City
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
14 Jul
Elgin City
1 : 3
Peterhead
11 Jul
Raith
3 : 1
Elgin City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elgin City 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Spartans 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
3 Clyde 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Stirling 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Forfar Athletic 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Kelty Hearts 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
7 Annan 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
8 Stranraer 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
9 Dumbarton 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
10 Edinburgh City 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)