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Spartans vs Livingston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Ainslie Park, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Blaney S.
Assist: MacPherson C.
90' Event
Muirhead R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Spartans
20%
Draws
47%
Livingston
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Livingston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Livingston lately — more wins on the board than Spartans.
  • Livingston are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Livingston arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Livingston, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Spartans Clean Sheet 17%
Livingston Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartans Livingston
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.69 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2026 Challenge Cup
Spartans vs Livingston
0:2
Sep 7, 2024 Challenge Cup
Spartans vs Livingston
0:2
Jul 27, 2024 League Cup
Livingston vs Spartans
0:1
Jun 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Spartans vs Livingston
0:0
Feb 8, 2004 Scottish Cup
Spartans vs Livingston
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartans Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Livingston Compare

Top Goalscorer Blaney S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muirhead R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartans 20 / 100
Livingston 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartans Livingston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livingston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spartans scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Spartans went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Livingston let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartans VS Livingston
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartans

(Home)
03 Nov
Spartans
0 : 2
Livingston
31 Oct
Spartans
3 : 2
Annan
24 Oct
Lochee United
1 : 2
Spartans
17 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Stranraer
13 Oct
Spartans
1 : 1
Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 6

Livingston

(Away)
03 Nov
Spartans
0 : 2
Livingston
30 Oct
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Livingston
24 Oct
Livingston
1 : 0
Arbroath
17 Oct
Dunfermline
0 : 0
Livingston
10 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Partick
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Spartans 0
Livingston 2
St. Mirren B 1
Peterhead 2
Hamilton 2
Raith 1
Formartine Utd 0
Cove Rangers 2
East Kilbride 7
Stirling 3
Edinburgh City 0
Partick 3
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Dunfermline 4
Morton 0
Kelty Hearts 1
Ross County 2
Celtic B 0
Stenhousemuir 4
Berwick 1
Arbroath 1
Queen of the South 0
Airdrieonians 5
Elgin City 0
Annan 0
Ayr 2
Inverness 1
Montrose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Alloa 0
Aberdeen B 1
Queen's Park 2
1/8-finals
Livingston -
Peterhead -
Hamilton -
Cove Rangers -
East Kilbride -
Partick -
Dunfermline -
Kelty Hearts -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
Arbroath -
Airdrieonians -
Ayr -
Inverness -
Clydebank FC -
Queen's Park -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -