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Spartans W vs Kilmarnock W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup Women 2025 Ainslie Park, Edinburgh
Spartans W Logo

Spartans W

6 - 0
FT
Kilmarnock W Logo

Kilmarnock W

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Bates M.
65' Event
Bates M.
67' Event
Clelland S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-0, with Spartans W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Spartans W
15%
Draws
51%
Kilmarnock W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kilmarnock W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spartans W come out ahead of Kilmarnock W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Spartans W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Spartans W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spartans W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spartans W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Spartans W Clean Sheet 10%
Kilmarnock W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartans W Kilmarnock W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 2 1
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.6 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Scottish Cup Women
Spartans W vs Kilmarnock W
6:0
Jun 3, 2012 SWPL 1 Women
Spartans W vs Kilmarnock W
5:0
Jul 31, 2011 SWPL 1 Women
Kilmarnock W vs Spartans W
1:7
Mar 20, 2011 SWPL 1 Women
Spartans W vs Kilmarnock W
9:0
Oct 24, 2010 SWPL 1 Women
Spartans W vs Kilmarnock W
12:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartans W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bates M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Anderson A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Kilmarnock W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.17

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartans W 34 / 100
Kilmarnock W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartans W Kilmarnock W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Spartans W scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Kilmarnock W let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Spartans W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartans W VS Kilmarnock W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.57
2.63 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 86%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartans W

(Home)
04 Oct
Celtic W
4 : 0
Spartans W
27 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 2
Spartans W
20 Sept
Spartans W
0 : 1
Hearts W
13 Sept
Celtic W
1 : 0
Spartans W
06 Sept
Spartans W
3 : 1
Aberdeen W
Page 1 of 6

Kilmarnock W

(Away)
13 Sept
Kilmarnock W
1 : 8
Hibernian W
09 Aug
Kilmarnock W
2 : 3
Motherwell W
05 Aug
Falkirk FCF W
0 : 3
Kilmarnock W
02 Aug
Kilmarnock W
2 : 1
Dundee Utd W
26 Jul
Boroughmuir W
0 : 2
Kilmarnock W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Falkirk W 0
Hearts W 9
Glasgow City W 3
Celtic W 2
Dundee Utd W 1
Boroughmuir W 3
Motherwell W 6
Bonnyrigg Rose W 0
Rangers W 7
Montrose W 0
Spartans W 6
Kilmarnock W 0
St Johnstone W 4
Elgin City W 2
Aberdeen W 3
Hamilton W 0
Quarter-finals
Hearts W 2
Glasgow City W 3
Boroughmuir W 0
Motherwell W 3
Rangers W 2
Spartans W 0
St Johnstone W 1
Aberdeen W 4
Semi-finals
Glasgow City W 4
Motherwell W 0
Rangers W 5
Aberdeen W 0
Final
Glasgow City W 0
Rangers W 3