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Spartax vs EC de Patos

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC de Patos in this Paraibano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC de Patos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Spartax
30%
Draws
42%
EC de Patos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EC de Patos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • EC de Patos have won more games recently than Spartax.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Spartax taking it.
  • Regular Paraibano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Spartax Clean Sheet 18%
EC de Patos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartax EC de Patos
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2024 Paraibano 2
Spartax vs EC de Patos
0:1
Sep 25, 2023 Paraibano 2
EC de Patos vs Spartax
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartax 36 / 100
EC de Patos 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartax EC de Patos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartax's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

EC de Patos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 35 matches.

Recent resilience: Spartax stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Spartax VS EC de Patos
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartax

(Home)
26 Sept
Femar
1 : 1
Spartax
23 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
4 : 3
Spartax
20 Sept
Spartax
2 : 2
Auto Esporte
17 Sept
Spartax
1 : 1
Serrano PB
13 Sept
Picuiense
0 : 1
Spartax
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EC de Patos

(Away)
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
13 Feb
Treze PB
3 : 1
EC de Patos
08 Feb
Confianca PB
1 : 2
EC de Patos
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
EC de Patos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC de Patos 9 8 1 0 20:1 25
2 Auto Esporte 9 7 2 0 20:3 23
3 Spartax 9 5 1 3 15:9 16
4 Queimadense 9 4 1 4 19:13 13
5 Cruzeiro-PB 9 4 1 4 13:10 13
6 Picuiense 9 4 1 4 11:15 13
7 Desportiva Guarabira 9 3 2 4 8:19 11
8 Confianca PB 9 3 1 5 12:13 10
9 Sport PB 9 2 0 7 6:14 6
10 Internacional PB 9 0 0 9 0:27 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2024 (Play Offs)