Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2025

Speks

Wed, May 14, 2025

4 - 3

05:00 PM

FK Alberts

Our Tip

Match Events

35'

Kamitani M.

47'

Dzelzitis R.

62'

Danga E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Speks in this Latvian Cup 2025 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Speks

15%

Draws

FK Alberts

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Speks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Speks have won more games recently than FK Alberts.
Speks are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Speks have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Speks, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Speks Clean Sheet 20%

FK Alberts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Speks	FK Alberts
Matches Played	9	30
Wins	6	5
Draws	0	2
Losses	3	23
Goals Scored	2.67	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.78	3.53
Expected Goals (xG)	3.13	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2025 Latvian Cup

Speks vs FK Alberts

4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Speks Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamitani M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Ozols K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.41

Avg xA / game 1.56

FK Alberts Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzelzitis R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Danga E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Speks 85 / 100

FK Alberts 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Speks FK Alberts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Speks Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FK Alberts conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: FK Alberts registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Speks's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Speks VS FK Alberts

2.88 Goals Scored 0.5

1.63 Goals Conceded 3.38

100% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Speks

(Home)

10 Jul

FK Metta

3 : 1

Speks

20 Jun

Salaspils FK

1 : 3

Speks

31 May

Speks

6 : 0

FK Union / JFK Daugava

01 Jun

Speks

0 : 3

Riga United

14 May

Speks

4 : 3

FK Alberts

Page 1 of 2

FK Alberts

(Away)

14 May

Speks

4 : 3

FK Alberts

16 May

Bauskas / Memele

4 : 0

FK Alberts

26 May

Kekava-Auda

5 : 1

FK Alberts

22 May

FK Alberts

1 : 4

LSPA

04 Jul

Caramba

2 : 0

FK Alberts

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Speks -

TBD -

FK Alberts -

Riga United -

TBD -

SK Babite -

Iecava -

TBD -

Kekava-Auda -

TBD -

Marupe -

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Livani -

TBD -

JFC Viola -

TBD -

Skanste -

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Kuivizu Spartaks -

TBD -

Upesciema Warriors -

TBD -

Riga Mariners -

Valmiera 8

FK Limbazi 0

TBD -

FK Cesis -

TBD -

Ogre United -

Plavinas -

TBD -

Namejs -

Rigas Futbola Skola -

TBD -

Bauskas / Memele -

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Augsdaugavas -

RSU -

TBD -

LSPA -

Kuldigas/Goldingen -

TBD -

Salaspils FK -

Dienvidkurzemes -

TBD -

DSVK Traktors -

TBD -

Leevon PPK -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava -

TBD -

Lielupe -

TBD -

Rezekne -

Talsi 1

Aliance 5

TBD -

Valka -

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/64-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Speks 4

FK Alberts 3

Riga United 6

SK Babite 0

Iecava 1

Kekava-Auda 2

TBD -

Marupe -

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Livani 4

JFC Viola 0

TBD -

Skanste -

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Kuivizu Spartaks 0

Upesciema Warriors 5

TBD -

Riga Mariners -

Valmiera 6

FK Cesis 0

TBD -

Ogre United -

Plavinas 4

Namejs 0

Rigas Futbola Skola 8

Bauskas / Memele 0

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Augsdaugavas -

RSU 5

LSPA 1

Kuldigas/Goldingen 2

Salaspils FK 3

Dienvidkurzemes 3

DSVK Traktors 0

TBD -

Leevon PPK -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava 5

Lielupe 0

TBD -

Rezekne -

Aliance 9

Valka 1

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/32-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Speks 0

Riga United 3

Kekava-Auda 0

Marupe 3

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Livani 0

Skanste 5

Alberts JDFS 5

FK Smiltene 3

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Upesciema Warriors 0

Riga Mariners 3

Valmiera 4

Ogre United 3

Plavinas 3

Rigas Futbola Skola 2

AFA Olaine 3

Augsdaugavas 1

RSU 0

Salaspils FK 6

Dienvidkurzemes 1

Leevon PPK 2

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava 4

Rezekne 0

Aliance 0

JFK Ventspils 6

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/16-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Riga United 0

Marupe 3

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Skanste 1

Alberts JDFS 2

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Riga Mariners 4

Valmiera 3

Plavinas 3

AFA Olaine 5

Salaspils FK 4

Leevon PPK 5

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava 1

JFK Ventspils 3

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/8-finals

Jelgava 0

RFS 1

Marupe 1

FK Metta 4

FK Auda Riga 1

Grobina 0

Alberts JDFS 1

Super Nova 3

Riga FC 4

Tukums 2000 0

Riga Mariners 6

AFA Olaine 1

Leevon PPK 2

BFC Daugavpils 4

JFK Ventspils 0

FK Liepaja 2

Quarter-finals

RFS 3

FK Metta 2

FK Auda Riga 3

Super Nova 1

Riga FC 10

Riga Mariners 0

BFC Daugavpils 1

FK Liepaja 2

Semi-finals

RFS 0

FK Auda Riga 2

Riga FC 4

FK Liepaja 0

Final

FK Auda Riga 2

Riga FC 1

Speks vs FK Alberts

Latvia

Speks

FK Alberts

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Speks Compare

FK Alberts Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Speks

FK Alberts

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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