Sport Picks
Spennymoor vs Alfreton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 2025/2026 
Match Events
15'
15'
Freeman K.
86'
86'
Foreman K.
AI Match Summary
The National League North 2025/2026 game between Spennymoor and Alfreton finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alfreton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Alfreton have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Spennymoor are scoring more at 1.45.
- Model gives Spennymoor a 38% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 14%
Alfreton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spennymoor | Alfreton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 National League North
Spennymoor vs Alfreton
1:1
Nov 11, 2025 National League North
Alfreton vs Spennymoor
2:1
Feb 18, 2025 National League North
Spennymoor vs Alfreton
3:1
Dec 7, 2024 FA Trophy
Alfreton vs Spennymoor
0:1
Oct 22, 2024 National League North
Alfreton vs Spennymoor
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spennymoor Compare
Top Goalscorer Foreman K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Alfreton Compare
Top Goalscorer Freeman K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spennymoor 57 / 100
Alfreton 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spennymoor Alfreton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spennymoor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spennymoor found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Alfreton has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Spennymoor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Spennymoor VS Alfreton
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Spennymoor
(Home) 03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1 Chester
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4 Spennymoor
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3 Spalding United
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1 Chester
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3 Spalding United
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Hednesford
22 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 4 Oxford City
Page 1 of 4
Alfreton
(Away) 06 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 0 United of Manchester
03 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1 Alfreton
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0 Guiseley
26 Sept
Alfreton
2 : 1 Shifnal Town
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0 Alfreton
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1 Alfreton
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0 Alfreton
31 Aug
Whitby
1 : 4 Alfreton
22 Aug
Stockton
2 : 0 Alfreton
18 Aug
Cleethorpes
2 : 1 Alfreton
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
