Sport Picks
Spennymoor vs Hednesford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Match Events
18'
18'
Dolan M.
26'
26'
Rose A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spennymoor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hednesford have won more games recently than Spennymoor.
- Model gives Spennymoor a 46% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 13%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spennymoor | Hednesford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 National League North
Spennymoor vs Hednesford
1:1
Jan 7, 2017 NPL Premier Division
Spennymoor vs Hednesford
4:2
Aug 13, 2016 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Spennymoor
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spennymoor Compare
Top Goalscorer Dolan M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Hednesford Compare
Top Goalscorer Rose A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spennymoor 57 / 100
Hednesford 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spennymoor Hednesford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spennymoor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spennymoor found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Hednesford has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Spennymoor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Spennymoor VS Hednesford
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Spennymoor
(Home) 03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1 Chester
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4 Spennymoor
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3 Spalding United
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1 Chester
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3 Spalding United
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Hednesford
22 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 4 Oxford City
Page 1 of 4
Hednesford
(Away) 26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1 Radcliffe
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 Coventry United
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1 Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3 Hednesford
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 South Shields
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1 Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3 Hednesford
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Hednesford
22 Aug
Telford
1 : 1 Hednesford
08 Aug
Merthyr Town
2 : 0 Hednesford
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
