Sport Picks
Spennymoor vs Oxford City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Match Events
16'
16'
Pollock S.
35'
35'
Jenkins J.
41'
41'
Pollock S.
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Spennymoor and Oxford City finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oxford City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oxford City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Oxford City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 10%
Oxford City Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spennymoor | Oxford City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 National League North
Spennymoor vs Oxford City
1:4
Dec 20, 2025 National League North
Spennymoor vs Oxford City
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 National League North
Oxford City vs Spennymoor
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 National League North
Spennymoor vs Oxford City
1:0
Dec 21, 2024 National League North
Oxford City vs Spennymoor
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spennymoor Compare
Top Goalscorer Jenkins J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Oxford City Compare
Top Goalscorer Pollock S.
3 Goals Assists Leader Marsh T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spennymoor 30 / 100
Oxford City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spennymoor Oxford City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oxford City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spennymoor's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Oxford City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Spennymoor has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Spennymoor VS Oxford City
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Spennymoor
(Home) 03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1 Chester
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4 Spennymoor
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3 Spalding United
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1 Chester
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3 Spalding United
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Hednesford
22 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 4 Oxford City
Page 1 of 4
Oxford City
(Away) 03 Oct
Oxford City
6 : 1 Enfield Town
26 Sept
Oxford City
1 : 1 Morecambe
19 Sept
Dorchester
0 : 2 Oxford City
12 Sept
Radcliffe
0 : 3 Oxford City
08 Sept
Telford
1 : 0 Oxford City
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Dorchester
0 : 2 Oxford City
12 Sept
Radcliffe
0 : 3 Oxford City
08 Sept
Telford
1 : 0 Oxford City
31 Aug
Worksop
0 : 1 Oxford City
22 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 4 Oxford City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
