Sport Picks
Spennymoor vs South Shields
England
National League North 2025/2026 
Match Events
44'
44'
Blackett P.
72'
72'
McKeown C.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Shields
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to South Shields lately — more wins on the board than Spennymoor.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 10%
South Shields Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spennymoor | South Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 National League North
Spennymoor vs South Shields
1:1
Dec 26, 2025 National League North
South Shields vs Spennymoor
6:0
Apr 21, 2025 National League North
South Shields vs Spennymoor
0:2
Dec 26, 2024 National League North
Spennymoor vs South Shields
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 FA Trophy
Spennymoor vs South Shields
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spennymoor Compare
Top Goalscorer McKeown C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
South Shields Compare
Top Goalscorer Blackett P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spennymoor 30 / 100
South Shields 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spennymoor South Shields
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick South Shields Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spennymoor found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
South Shields has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Spennymoor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Spennymoor VS South Shields
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Spennymoor
(Home) 26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4 Spennymoor
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3 Spalding United
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3 Spalding United
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Hednesford
22 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 4 Oxford City
15 Aug
Spennymoor
2 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 4
South Shields
(Away) 29 Sept
Brackley
3 : 2 South Shields
26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0 Buxton
19 Sept
South Shields
7 : 0 Witton Albion
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0 South Shields
08 Sept
South Shields
2 : 1 Marine
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Brackley
3 : 2 South Shields
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0 South Shields
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 South Shields
18 Aug
Morecambe
0 : 1 South Shields
08 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 1 South Shields
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
