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Speranis vs Univer Comrat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 2023/2024 game between Speranis and Univer Comrat finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Univer Comrat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Speranis
20%
Draws
32%
Univer Comrat
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Speranis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Univer Comrat's 1.94 goals per match outpaces what Speranis have produced (1.27).
  • Model gives Speranis a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Speranis Clean Sheet 16%
Univer Comrat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Speranis Univer Comrat
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2025 Liga 1
Univer Comrat vs Speranis
1:0
Nov 8, 2024 Liga 1
Univer Comrat vs Speranis
3:1
Sep 27, 2024 Liga 1
Speranis vs Univer Comrat
3:0
Aug 16, 2024 Liga 1
Univer Comrat vs Speranis
1:1
Nov 24, 2023 Liga 1
Speranis vs Univer Comrat
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Speranis 39 / 100
Univer Comrat 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Speranis Univer Comrat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Speranis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Univer Comrat has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Speranis scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Speranis stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Univer Comrat
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Speranis

(Home)
28 May
Saksan
4 : 0
Speranis
21 May
Victoria
0 : 2
Speranis
17 May
Stauceni
0 : 1
Speranis
07 May
Speranis
3 : 1
Olimp Comrat
26 Apr
Vulturii Cutezatori
0 : 2
Speranis
Page 1 of 6

Univer Comrat

(Away)
18 Sept
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
11 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau 2
1 : 1
Univer Comrat
05 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
1 : 0
Univer Comrat
01 Sept
Sparta Selemet
0 : 3
Univer Comrat
29 Aug
Sparta Selemet
1 : 6
Univer Comrat
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 15 11 1 3 46:17 34
2 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 15 10 2 3 38:10 32
3 Speranta Drochia 15 6 3 6 14:15 21
4 Iskra Ribnita 15 6 3 6 24:32 21
5 FCM Ungheni 15 6 2 7 38:30 20
6 Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol 15 0 1 14 6:62 1
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saksan 15 10 5 0 44:14 35
2 Univer Comrat 15 10 3 2 33:18 33
3 Speranis 15 5 4 6 26:28 19
4 Falesti 15 5 2 8 24:32 17
5 Olimp Comrat 15 4 5 6 19:24 17
6 Real Succes 15 1 1 13 14:44 4
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)