Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sperice vs Humpolec

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sperice in this 4. liga - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sperice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sperice
30%
Draws
23%
Humpolec
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sperice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Humpolec at 1.55 per game, Sperice at 1.17.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Sperice taking it.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sperice Clean Sheet 10%
Humpolec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sperice Humpolec
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Sperice vs Humpolec
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Humpolec vs Sperice
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Sperice vs Humpolec
1:0
Aug 10, 2024 4. liga - Group D
Humpolec vs Sperice
4:0
Apr 14, 2024 4. liga - Group D
Sperice vs Humpolec
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sperice 83 / 100
Humpolec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sperice Humpolec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sperice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Humpolec conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sperice remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Sperice scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Sperice VS Humpolec
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sperice

(Home)
23 Aug
Sperice
4 : 1
Ledec nad Sazavou
16 Aug
Sperice
8 : 0
Havlickuv Brod B
07 Aug
Bystrice nad Pernstejnem
1 : 4
Sperice
13 Jun
Sperice
2 : 2
Slovan Havlickuv Brod
07 Jun
Tasovice
5 : 2
Sperice
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Humpolec

(Away)
22 Aug
FC Kurim
1 : 0
Humpolec
16 Aug
Humpolec
2 : 2
Bedrichov
12 Aug
Humpolec
0 : 2
Velka Bites
07 Aug
Velke Mezirici
1 : 1
Humpolec
26 Jul
Bedrichov
1 : 3
Humpolec
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