Sport Picks
Spezia U19 vs Ascoli U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Primavera 2 2025/2026 
Match Events
24'
24'
Amato S.
28'
28'
Cassano A.
45'
45'
Insignito A.
AI Match Summary
The Primavera 2 2025/2026 game between Spezia U19 and Ascoli U19 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spezia U19.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spezia U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Spezia U19 come out ahead of Ascoli U19 on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Spezia U19's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Spezia U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Ascoli U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spezia U19 | Ascoli U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Spezia U19
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Ascoli U19
4:0
Sep 20, 2025 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Spezia U19
2:3
Apr 27, 2025 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Ascoli U19
0:2
Sep 28, 2024 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Spezia U19
2:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spezia U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Amato S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cassano A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Ascoli U19 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spezia U19 38 / 100
Ascoli U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spezia U19 Ascoli U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spezia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ascoli U19 let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Spezia U19's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Spezia U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Spezia U19 VS Ascoli U19
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Spezia U19
(Home) 19 Sept
Pisa U19
0 : 3 Spezia U19
12 Sept
Spezia U19
2 : 3 Palermo U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1 Spezia U19
09 May
Pisa U19
2 : 1 Spezia U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1 Ternana U19
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Spezia U19
2 : 3 Palermo U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1 Ternana U19
11 Apr
Spezia U19
1 : 3 Perugia U19
21 Mar
Spezia U19
2 : 1 Crotone U19
07 Mar
Spezia U19
4 : 0 Salernitana U19
Page 1 of 3
Ascoli U19
(Away) 26 Sept
Sudtirol U19
4 : 2 Ascoli U19
19 Sept
Ascoli U19
2 : 2 Napoli U19
12 Sept
Bari U19
2 : 1 Ascoli U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1 Spezia U19
22 Aug
Ascoli U19
4 : 1 Latina U19
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sudtirol U19
4 : 2 Ascoli U19
12 Sept
Bari U19
2 : 1 Ascoli U19
02 May
Perugia U19
3 : 2 Ascoli U19
18 Apr
Catanzaro U19
3 : 2 Ascoli U19
02 Apr
Pisa U19
3 : 2 Ascoli U19
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como U19 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 58:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Lecco U19 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 65:50 | 60 |
| 3 | Modena U19 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 55:38 | 55 |
| 4 | AlbinoLeffe U19 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 58:59 | 47 |
| 5 | Reggiana U19 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 58:44 | 46 |
| 6 | Pro Vercelli U19 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 44:46 | 46 |
| 7 | Entella U19 | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 8 | Sampdoria U19 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 57:48 | 41 |
| 9 | Vicenza U19 | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 45:53 | 38 |
| 10 | Sudtirol U19 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:37 | 37 |
| 11 | Udinese U19 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 53:50 | 36 |
| 12 | Cittadella U19 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42:49 | 36 |
| 13 | Renate U19 | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 34:44 | 33 |
| 14 | Union Brescia U19 | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 31:46 | 30 |
| 15 | Venezia U19 | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 32:63 | 26 |
| 16 | Padova U19 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 34:53 | 25 |
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Empoli U19 | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 74:19 | 74 |
| 2 | Perugia U19 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 47:27 | 55 |
| 3 | Pescara U19 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 51:37 | 52 |
| 4 | Avellino U19 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 54:36 | 51 |
| 5 | Pisa U19 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 54:41 | 48 |
| 6 | Spezia U19 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 55:43 | 48 |
| 7 | Catanzaro U19 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 42:35 | 48 |
| 8 | Benevento U19 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 42:50 | 44 |
| 9 | Ternana U19 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 51:54 | 42 |
| 10 | Monopoli U19 | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 39:50 | 37 |
| 11 | Bari U19 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 42:42 | 35 |
| 12 | Ascoli U19 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 47:50 | 33 |
| 13 | Palermo U19 | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 35:43 | 27 |
| 14 | Cosenza U19 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 32:62 | 27 |
| 15 | Salernitana U19 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 28:62 | 24 |
| 16 | Crotone U19 | 30 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 20:62 | 13 |
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
