Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spezia U19 vs Crotone U19

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Primavera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Conte G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Spezia U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Spezia U19
20%
Draws
10%
Crotone U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spezia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spezia U19 come out ahead of Crotone U19 on wins alone.
  • Spezia U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Spezia U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spezia U19, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spezia U19 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Spezia U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Crotone U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spezia U19 Crotone U19
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 1
Draws 4 11
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.87 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.33 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Crotone U19
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Spezia U19
0:0
Sep 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Primavera
Spezia U19 vs Crotone U19
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Crotone U19
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Spezia U19
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spezia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Conte G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Crotone U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spezia U19 85 / 100
Crotone U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spezia U19 Crotone U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spezia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone U19 has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Spezia U19 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Spezia U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spezia U19 VS Crotone U19
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spezia U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Pisa U19
0 : 3
Spezia U19
12 Sept
Spezia U19
2 : 3
Palermo U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1
Spezia U19
09 May
Pisa U19
2 : 1
Spezia U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1
Ternana U19
Page 1 of 6

Crotone U19

(Away)
09 May
Crotone U19
2 : 2
Catanzaro U19
02 May
Cosenza U19
2 : 0
Crotone U19
25 Apr
Crotone U19
0 : 4
Bari U19
18 Apr
Palermo U19
7 : 1
Crotone U19
11 Apr
Crotone U19
2 : 3
Pescara U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Cagliari U20 -
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Atalanta U20 -
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Pro Vercelli U19 1
FeralpiSalo U19 0
Salernitana U19 0
Lecco U19 4
Entella U19 -
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Palermo U19 -
Verona U20 -
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Lazio U20 -
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Vicenza U19 -
Bologna U20 -
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Como U19 -
Cesena U20 -
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Modena U19 -
Napoli U20 -
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Renate U19 -
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Fiorentina U20 -
Empoli U19 -
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Pisa U19 -
AlbinoLeffe U19 2
Padova U19 3
Avellino U19 3
Reggiana U19 2
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Lecce U20 -
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Sassuolo U20 -
Inter U20 -
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Cremonese U20 -
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Spezia U19 2
Perugia U19 1
Bari U19 0
Crotone U19 1
Sampdoria U19 -
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Sudtirol U19 -
Juventus U20 -
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Genoa U20 -
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Cosenza U19 -
Frosinone U20 -
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Ternana U19 -
Torino U20 -
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Pescara U19 -
Parma U20 -
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Ascoli U19 -
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AC Milan U20 -
Udinese U19 -
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Benevento U19 -
Cittadella U19 4
Monopoli U19 1
Venezia U19 1
Catanzaro U19 5
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Monza U20 -
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AS Roma U20 -
1/64-finals
Cagliari U20 -
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Atalanta U20 -
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Pro Vercelli U19 2
Lecco U19 0
Entella U19 -
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Palermo U19 -
Verona U20 -
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Lazio U20 -
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Vicenza U19 -
Bologna U20 -
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Como U19 -
Cesena U20 -
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Modena U19 -
Napoli U20 -
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Renate U19 -
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Fiorentina U20 -
Empoli U19 -
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Pisa U19 -
Padova U19 2
Avellino U19 3
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Lecce U20 -
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Sassuolo U20 -
Inter U20 -
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Cremonese U20 -
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Spezia U19 1
Crotone U19 0
Sampdoria U19 -
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Sudtirol U19 -
Juventus U20 -
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Genoa U20 -
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Cosenza U19 -
Frosinone U20 -
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Ternana U19 -
Torino U20 -
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Pescara U19 -
Parma U20 -
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Ascoli U19 -
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AC Milan U20 -
Udinese U19 -
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Benevento U19 -
Cittadella U19 2
Catanzaro U19 3
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Monza U20 -
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AS Roma U20 -
1/32-finals
Cagliari U20 -
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Atalanta U20 6
Pro Vercelli U19 1
Entella U19 3
Palermo U19 0
Verona U20 -
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Lazio U20 2
Vicenza U19 1
Bologna U20 2
Como U19 0
Cesena U20 3
Modena U19 0
Napoli U20 2
Renate U19 0
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Fiorentina U20 -
Empoli U19 2
Pisa U19 1
Avellino U19 0
Lecce U20 3
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Sassuolo U20 -
Inter U20 -
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Cremonese U20 2
Spezia U19 3
Sampdoria U19 2
Sudtirol U19 1
Juventus U20 -
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Genoa U20 0
Cosenza U19 1
Frosinone U20 1
Ternana U19 0
Torino U20 2
Pescara U19 1
Parma U20 3
Ascoli U19 2
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AC Milan U20 -
Udinese U19 2
Benevento U19 1
Catanzaro U19 0
Monza U20 3
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AS Roma U20 -
1/16-finals
Cagliari U20 -
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Atalanta U20 6
Entella U19 1
Verona U20 -
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Lazio U20 2
Bologna U20 1
Cesena U20 4
Napoli U20 5
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Fiorentina U20 -
Empoli U19 2
Lecce U20 6
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Sassuolo U20 -
Inter U20 -
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Spezia U19 1
Sampdoria U19 2
Juventus U20 -
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Cosenza U19 0
Frosinone U20 5
Torino U20 0
Parma U20 2
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AC Milan U20 -
Udinese U19 1
Monza U20 3
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AS Roma U20 -
1/8-finals
Cagliari U20 0
Atalanta U20 1
Verona U20 2
Lazio U20 1
Napoli U20 1
Fiorentina U20 3
Lecce U20 0
Sassuolo U20 3
Inter U20 3
Sampdoria U19 2
Juventus U20 2
Frosinone U20 1
Parma U20 1
AC Milan U20 0
Monza U20 0
AS Roma U20 2
Quarter-finals
Atalanta U20 3
Verona U20 2
Fiorentina U20 0
Sassuolo U20 1
Inter U20 0
Juventus U20 3
Parma U20 1
AS Roma U20 0
Semi-finals
Atalanta U20 2
Sassuolo U20 0
Juventus U20 2
Parma U20 0
Final
Atalanta U20 2
Juventus U20 1