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Spezia U19 vs Novara U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primavera 2 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Spezia U19
15%
Draws
54%
Novara U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novara U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Novara U19 lately — more wins on the board than Spezia U19.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Spezia U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Novara U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spezia U19 Novara U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.84 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2018 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Novara U19
1:1
Nov 4, 2017 Primavera 2
Novara U19 vs Spezia U19
1:2
Sep 21, 2016 Coppa Italia Primavera
Spezia U19 vs Novara U19
0:1
Jan 16, 2016 Primavera - Group A
Spezia U19 vs Novara U19
1:1
Sep 12, 2015 Primavera - Group A
Novara U19 vs Spezia U19
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spezia U19 32 / 100
Novara U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spezia U19 Novara U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novara U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novara U19 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Spezia U19 scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Spezia U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spezia U19 VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spezia U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Pisa U19
0 : 3
Spezia U19
12 Sept
Spezia U19
2 : 3
Palermo U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1
Spezia U19
09 May
Pisa U19
2 : 1
Spezia U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1
Ternana U19
Page 1 of 7

Novara U19

(Away)
16 May
Novara U19
0 : 1
Palermo U19
05 May
Brescia U19
1 : 2
Novara U19
28 Apr
Novara U19
3 : 0
Cittadella U19
21 Apr
Carpi U19
0 : 1
Novara U19
14 Apr
Novara U19
3 : 1
Parma U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novara U19 24 15 6 3 54:28 51
2 Empoli U19 24 13 6 5 37:21 45
3 Cesena U19 24 12 8 4 48:29 44
4 Spezia U19 24 11 5 8 46:34 38
5 Spal U19 24 9 10 5 25:21 37
6 Venezia U19 24 10 5 9 43:41 35
7 Cremonese U19 24 9 7 8 38:30 34
8 Pro Vercelli U19 24 9 6 9 34:38 33
9 Entella U19 24 8 6 10 35:36 30
10 Cittadella U19 24 8 5 11 26:43 29
11 Brescia U19 24 7 5 12 28:40 26
12 Parma U19 24 4 5 15 22:50 17
13 Carpi U19 24 1 6 17 16:41 9
Promotion - Primavera 1 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo U19 24 12 9 3 50:23 45
2 Cagliari U19 24 13 5 6 46:23 44
3 Ascoli U19 24 12 6 6 50:34 42
4 Bari U19 24 12 6 6 47:33 42
5 Crotone U19 24 11 5 8 44:30 38
6 Pescara U19 24 10 7 7 44:34 37
7 Perugia U19 24 11 4 9 39:32 37
8 Frosinone U19 24 9 7 8 31:31 34
9 Ternana U19 24 9 5 10 34:30 32
10 Foggia U19 24 7 7 10 38:39 28
11 Benevento U19 24 6 9 9 28:42 27
12 Salernitana U19 24 8 2 14 26:44 26
13 Avellino U19 24 0 0 24 22:104 0
Promotion - Primavera 1 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)