Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Ferrazza D.
72'
72'
Vannucci T.
74'
74'
Coltorti A.
AI Match Summary
Spezia U19 in this Primavera 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spezia U19.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spezia U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Spezia U19 lately — more wins on the board than Ternana U19.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Spezia U19 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Spezia U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Ternana U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spezia U19 | Ternana U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Ternana U19
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 Primavera 2
Ternana U19 vs Spezia U19
1:0
May 10, 2025 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Ternana U19
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 Primavera 2
Ternana U19 vs Spezia U19
1:2
Jan 27, 2024 Primavera 2
Ternana U19 vs Spezia U19
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spezia U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferrazza D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vannucci T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Ternana U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Coltorti A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spezia U19 66 / 100
Ternana U19 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spezia U19 Ternana U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spezia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Ternana U19 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Spezia U19 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Spezia U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Spezia U19 VS Ternana U19
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Spezia U19
(Home) 19 Sept
Pisa U19
0 : 3 Spezia U19
12 Sept
Spezia U19
2 : 3 Palermo U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1 Spezia U19
09 May
Pisa U19
2 : 1 Spezia U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1 Ternana U19
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Spezia U19
2 : 3 Palermo U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1 Ternana U19
11 Apr
Spezia U19
1 : 3 Perugia U19
21 Mar
Spezia U19
2 : 1 Crotone U19
07 Mar
Spezia U19
4 : 0 Salernitana U19
Page 1 of 3
Ternana U19
(Away) 09 May
Ternana U19
2 : 2 Pescara U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1 Ternana U19
25 Apr
Ternana U19
1 : 4 Empoli U19
18 Apr
Cosenza U19
1 : 1 Ternana U19
11 Apr
Ternana U19
2 : 1 Benevento U19
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1 Ternana U19
18 Apr
Cosenza U19
1 : 1 Ternana U19
02 Apr
Palermo U19
1 : 0 Ternana U19
14 Mar
Salernitana U19
2 : 2 Ternana U19
02 Mar
Perugia U19
4 : 0 Ternana U19
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como U19 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 58:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Lecco U19 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 65:50 | 60 |
| 3 | Modena U19 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 55:38 | 55 |
| 4 | AlbinoLeffe U19 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 58:59 | 47 |
| 5 | Reggiana U19 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 58:44 | 46 |
| 6 | Pro Vercelli U19 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 44:46 | 46 |
| 7 | Entella U19 | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 8 | Sampdoria U19 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 57:48 | 41 |
| 9 | Vicenza U19 | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 45:53 | 38 |
| 10 | Sudtirol U19 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:37 | 37 |
| 11 | Udinese U19 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 53:50 | 36 |
| 12 | Cittadella U19 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42:49 | 36 |
| 13 | Renate U19 | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 34:44 | 33 |
| 14 | Union Brescia U19 | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 31:46 | 30 |
| 15 | Venezia U19 | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 32:63 | 26 |
| 16 | Padova U19 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 34:53 | 25 |
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Empoli U19 | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 74:19 | 74 |
| 2 | Perugia U19 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 47:27 | 55 |
| 3 | Pescara U19 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 51:37 | 52 |
| 4 | Avellino U19 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 54:36 | 51 |
| 5 | Pisa U19 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 54:41 | 48 |
| 6 | Spezia U19 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 55:43 | 48 |
| 7 | Catanzaro U19 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 42:35 | 48 |
| 8 | Benevento U19 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 42:50 | 44 |
| 9 | Ternana U19 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 51:54 | 42 |
| 10 | Monopoli U19 | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 39:50 | 37 |
| 11 | Bari U19 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 42:42 | 35 |
| 12 | Ascoli U19 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 47:50 | 33 |
| 13 | Palermo U19 | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 35:43 | 27 |
| 14 | Cosenza U19 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 32:62 | 27 |
| 15 | Salernitana U19 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 28:62 | 24 |
| 16 | Crotone U19 | 30 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 20:62 | 13 |
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
