Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spezia U20 vs Siena U20

Italy Italy

Primavera - Group A 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group A 2012/2013 game between Spezia U20 and Siena U20 finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siena U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Spezia U20
20%
Draws
42%
Siena U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Siena U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Siena U20 haven't matched Spezia U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Siena U20 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primavera - Group A 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Spezia U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Siena U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spezia U20 Siena U20
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.04 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2013 Primavera - Group A
Spezia U20 vs Siena U20
0:4
Oct 13, 2012 Primavera - Group A
Siena U20 vs Spezia U20
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spezia U20 11 / 100
Siena U20 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spezia U20 Siena U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siena U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siena U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Spezia U20 scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Spezia U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spezia U20 VS Siena U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spezia U20

(Home)
21 Apr
Spezia U20
2 : 1
Fiorentina U20
13 Apr
Parma U20
1 : 1
Spezia U20
07 Apr
Spezia U20
2 : 0
Cagliari U20
03 Apr
Genoa U20
1 : 1
Spezia U20
22 Mar
Spezia U20
0 : 4
Siena U20
Page 1 of 6

Siena U20

(Away)
20 Apr
Siena U20
3 : 1
Pro Vercelli U20
13 Apr
Grosseto U20
0 : 2
Siena U20
06 Apr
Siena U20
2 : 3
Fiorentina U20
03 Apr
Juventus U20
2 : 0
Siena U20
22 Mar
Spezia U20
0 : 4
Siena U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus U20 26 19 4 3 49:19 61
2 Fiorentina U20 26 18 2 6 59:25 56
3 Torino U20 26 15 8 3 40:19 53
4 Genoa U20 26 13 7 6 41:31 46
5 Empoli U20 26 12 5 9 41:37 41
6 Parma U20 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
7 Spezia U20 26 10 5 11 27:38 35
8 Novara U20 26 9 4 13 35:42 31
9 Siena U20 26 8 6 12 30:35 30
10 Pro Vercelli U20 26 9 3 14 26:40 30
11 Sampdoria U20 26 7 7 12 33:32 28
12 Cagliari U20 26 7 5 14 33:42 26
13 Livorno U20 26 6 7 13 36:53 25
14 Grosseto U20 26 3 4 19 25:60 13
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2012/2013 (Qualification)