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Spinea vs Delta Porto Tolle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Dell'Andrea A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 game between Spinea and Delta Porto Tolle finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spinea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Spinea
15%
Draws
51%
Delta Porto Tolle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Delta Porto Tolle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Delta Porto Tolle come out ahead of Spinea on wins alone.
  • Delta Porto Tolle are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Spinea Clean Sheet 15%
Delta Porto Tolle Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spinea Delta Porto Tolle
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.83 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Spinea vs Delta Porto Tolle
1:0
Sep 19, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Delta Porto Tolle vs Spinea
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spinea Compare

Top Goalscorer Dell'Andrea A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Delta Porto Tolle Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spinea 19 / 100
Delta Porto Tolle 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spinea Delta Porto Tolle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Delta Porto Tolle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Delta Porto Tolle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Delta Porto Tolle registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Spinea found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Spinea VS Delta Porto Tolle
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spinea

(Home)
15 May
Cartigliano
2 : 2
Spinea
08 May
Spinea
0 : 5
Dolomiti Bellunesi
01 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 3
Spinea
27 Apr
Spinea
1 : 3
Campodarsego
24 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 3
Spinea
Page 1 of 6

Delta Porto Tolle

(Away)
22 May
Ambrosiana
0 : 1
Delta Porto Tolle
15 May
Delta Porto Tolle
3 : 4
Adriese
08 May
Cjarlins Muzane
0 : 2
Delta Porto Tolle
01 May
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Delta Porto Tolle
27 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
2 : 3
Cartigliano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arzignano 34 21 10 3 74:32 73
2 Clodiense 34 20 12 2 53:22 72
3 Adriese 34 19 9 6 61:36 66
4 Luparense FC 34 16 10 8 60:35 58
5 Campodarsego 34 15 11 8 48:37 56
6 Caldiero Terme 34 15 6 13 58:50 51
7 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 14 8 12 51:50 50
8 Montebelluna 34 14 7 13 57:52 49
9 Mestre 34 13 7 14 36:45 46
10 Cjarlins Muzane 34 11 12 11 51:43 45
11 Cartigliano 34 11 12 11 44:40 45
12 Este 34 10 13 11 31:42 43
13 Levico Terme 34 11 9 14 31:40 42
14 Ambrosiana 34 11 7 16 45:52 40
15 Delta Porto Tolle 34 10 6 18 43:51 36
16 Spinea 34 6 7 21 27:58 25
17 Cattolica Calcio 34 6 5 23 20:61 23
18 San Martino Speme 34 5 5 24 29:73 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 (Play Out)