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Spjelkavik vs Nardo

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spjelkavik host Nardo in the Division 3 - Group 2. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Nardo have shipped 2.5 goals a game lately, while Spjelkavik have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.75. Head-to-head, Spjelkavik have won 1 to Nardo's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2025, ending 2:2. xG projections (2.13 - 1.75) back Spjelkavik to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Spjelkavik
6%
Draws
4%
Nardo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spjelkavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spjelkavik lately — more wins on the board than Nardo.
  • Win probability leans Spjelkavik's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Spjelkavik Clean Sheet 12%
Nardo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spjelkavik Nardo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Spjelkavik
2:2
Jun 7, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Nardo
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spjelkavik 83 / 100
Nardo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spjelkavik Nardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spjelkavik found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Nardo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Away concern: Nardo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spjelkavik VS Nardo
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Spjelkavik

(Home)
27 Jun
Rosenborg 2
2 : 1
Spjelkavik
20 Jun
Spjelkavik
0 : 2
Orkla
13 Jun
Strindheim
2 : 4
Spjelkavik
30 May
Spjelkavik
4 : 0
Byasen
22 May
Molde 2
3 : 1
Spjelkavik
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Nardo

(Away)
27 Jun
Ranheim 2
5 : 3
Nardo
20 Jun
Nardo
2 : 0
Ntnui
13 Jun
Herd
4 : 1
Nardo
30 May
Nardo
1 : 1
Rosenborg 2
25 May
Strindheim
4 : 1
Nardo
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