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Spjelkavik vs Nardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Irving F.
74' Event
Tjostheim J.
84' Event
Halvorsen K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Spjelkavik in this Division 3 - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spjelkavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Spjelkavik
15%
Draws
68%
Nardo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spjelkavik lately — more wins on the board than Nardo.
  • Win probability leans Nardo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Spjelkavik Clean Sheet 10%
Nardo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spjelkavik Nardo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.9 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Spjelkavik
4:2
Jul 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Nardo
4:2
Aug 30, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Spjelkavik
2:2
Jun 7, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Nardo
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spjelkavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Irving F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tjostheim J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Johansen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spjelkavik 10 / 100
Nardo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spjelkavik Nardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spjelkavik found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Nardo let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.25 goals.

Solid form: Spjelkavik remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spjelkavik VS Nardo
2.5 Goals Scored 3
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Spjelkavik

(Home)
04 Oct
Spjelkavik
2 : 5
Ranheim 2
26 Sept
Melhus
0 : 1
Spjelkavik
21 Sept
Spjelkavik
0 : 4
Rosenborg 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
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Nardo

(Away)
03 Oct
Nardo
0 : 1
Strindheim
26 Sept
Ntnui
2 : 5
Nardo
21 Sept
Nardo
4 : 1
Ranheim 2
13 Sept
Rosenborg 2
2 : 5
Nardo
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
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