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Spjelkavik vs Surnadal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 8
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spjelkavik in this Division 3 - Group 8 matchup, with the score ending 11-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spjelkavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Spjelkavik
20%
Draws
36%
Surnadal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spjelkavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Surnadal haven't matched Spjelkavik's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spjelkavik have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Spjelkavik Clean Sheet 20%
Surnadal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spjelkavik Surnadal
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 19 3
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 2.35 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.78 3.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Surnadal vs Spjelkavik
1:3
Mar 29, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Surnadal
7:1
Oct 15, 2016 Division 3 - Group 8
Spjelkavik vs Surnadal
11:0
Jun 18, 2016 Division 3 - Group 8
Surnadal vs Spjelkavik
2:1
Aug 3, 2013 Division 3 - Group 9
Spjelkavik vs Surnadal
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spjelkavik 32 / 100
Surnadal 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spjelkavik Surnadal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Surnadal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spjelkavik scored in 86% of their last 37 outings.

Surnadal has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Spjelkavik stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spjelkavik VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spjelkavik

(Home)
26 Sept
Melhus
0 : 1
Spjelkavik
21 Sept
Spjelkavik
0 : 4
Rosenborg 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
31 Aug
Spjelkavik
3 : 1
Molde 2
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Surnadal

(Away)
26 Oct
Surnadal
1 : 3
Spjelkavik
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
Surnadal
2 : 3
Kristiansund 2
04 Oct
Melhus
1 : 1
Surnadal
27 Sept
Surnadal
4 : 1
Nardo
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