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Stadium Background

Spokane Velocity vs Athletic Club Boise

USA USA

USL Cup One Spokane Stadium, Spokane, WA
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Margvelashvili G.
41'
Amang T.
50'
Crull J.

AI Match Summary

Spokane Velocity in this USL Cup tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Spokane Velocity
39%
Draws
31%
Athletic Club Boise
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spokane Velocity lately — more wins on the board than Athletic Club Boise.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Spokane Velocity have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spokane Velocity, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 16%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spokane Velocity Athletic Club Boise
Matches Played 28 21
Wins 15 11
Draws 3 3
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 USL Cup
Spokane Velocity vs Athletic Club Boise
2:1
Apr 5, 2026 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs Spokane Velocity
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spokane Velocity Compare

Top Goalscorer Miller C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lewis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Athletic Club Boise Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spokane Velocity 30 / 100
Athletic Club Boise 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spokane Velocity Athletic Club Boise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spokane Velocity's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Athletic Club Boise's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 21 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Spokane Velocity remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spokane Velocity VS Athletic Club Boise
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spokane Velocity

(Home)
23 Jul
Spokane Velocity
3 : 0
Charlotte Independence
18 Jul
Richmond Kickers
0 : 2
Spokane Velocity
11 Jul
Oakland Roots
1 : 3
Spokane Velocity
04 Jul
Fort Wayne
3 : 0
Spokane Velocity
02 Jul
Spokane Velocity
0 : 1
Forward Madison
Page 1 of 6

Athletic Club Boise

(Away)
18 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
12 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 0
Sacramento Republic
05 Jul
Westchester SC
0 : 1
Athletic Club Boise
03 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 2
One Knoxville
21 Jun
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0
Union Omaha
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spokane Velocity43016:69
2Sacramento Republic43017:38
3Athletic Club Boise43019:68
4Oakland Roots41034:64
5Las Vegas Lights41034:74
6Monterey Bay41038:103
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colorado Springs440010:112
2New Mexico43018:59
3El Paso Locomotive42025:56
4AV Alta FC42025:66
5Phoenix Rising41033:83
6Orange County SC40043:90
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio FC44006:111
2Birmingham Legion43018:39
3One Knoxville43016:46
4FC Tulsa41034:74
5Corpus Christi FC41032:64
6Chattanooga Red Wolves40042:72
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City440013:411
2Detroit City42024:48
3Indy Eleven43017:47
4Lexington42028:86
5Union Omaha420210:126
6Forward Madison41036:103
7Fort Wayne40046:121
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hartford Athletic43018:310
2Rhode Island43017:37
3Brooklyn FC42029:57
4Portland Hearts of Pine42027:106
5New York Cosmos41035:114
6Westchester SC41036:102
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence44008:410
2Charleston43019:49
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds42026:38
4Greenville Triumph41034:73
5Loudoun United41034:73
6Richmond Kickers41033:93
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay440010:112
2Miami FC430111:59
3Sporting Jax41033:54
4Sarasota Paradise41032:93
5FC Naples41033:92
6South Georgia Tormenta00000:00
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams