Sport Picks
Spokane Velocity vs Athletic Club Boise - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One One Spokane Stadium, Spokane, WA 
Match Events
29'
29'
Barea J.
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Barea J.
Assist: Gasso D.
46'
46'
Sub
Hanson J. In: Ricketts J.
Out: Hanson J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Athletic Club Boise lately — more wins on the board than Spokane Velocity.
- Athletic Club Boise are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 14%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spokane Velocity | Athletic Club Boise |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Athletic Club Boise
2:2
Jun 7, 2026 USL Cup
Spokane Velocity vs Athletic Club Boise
2:1
Apr 5, 2026 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs Spokane Velocity
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spokane Velocity Compare
Top Goalscorer Gil L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Waldeck D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Athletic Club Boise Compare
Top Goalscorer Barea J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spokane Velocity 27 / 100
Athletic Club Boise 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spokane Velocity Athletic Club Boise
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Athletic Club Boise Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spokane Velocity scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Athletic Club Boise let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Spokane Velocity went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Spokane Velocity VS Athletic Club Boise
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Spokane Velocity
(Home) 04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
23 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1 Greenville Triumph
16 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 3 Corpus Christi FC
13 Aug
Spokane Velocity
1 : 2 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 4
Athletic Club Boise
(Away) 03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0 Greenville Triumph
27 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1 Athletic Club Boise
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1 Athletic Club Boise
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
05 Sept
FC Naples
0 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
29 Aug
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2 : 3 Athletic Club Boise
22 Aug
One Knoxville
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50:27 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:37 | 42 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48:46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43:53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36:56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
