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Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence

USA USA

USL League One One Spokane Stadium, Spokane, WA
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Amaya J.
53' Event
Gil L.
(Penalty)
61'
Sub
Gil L. In: Vinyals N.
Out: Gil L.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Spokane Velocity and Charlotte Independence finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spokane Velocity.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Spokane Velocity
35%
Draws
40%
Charlotte Independence
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Charlotte Independence

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Charlotte Independence carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 10%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spokane Velocity Charlotte Independence
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 21
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.41 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence
3:0
Mar 27, 2026 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Spokane Velocity
4:0
Oct 3, 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Spokane Velocity
0:1
Jun 12, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence
1:1
Jul 28, 2024 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spokane Velocity Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallardo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinyals N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Charlotte Independence Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spokane Velocity 30 / 100
Charlotte Independence 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spokane Velocity Charlotte Independence

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Charlotte Independence conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Spokane Velocity's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Spokane Velocity stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spokane Velocity VS Charlotte Independence
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spokane Velocity

(Home)
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1
Spokane Velocity
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1
Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6

Charlotte Independence

(Away)
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1
Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Charlotte Independence
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4
Westchester SC
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0
Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 29 19 4 6 53:31 61
2 Charlotte Independence 28 17 6 5 64:40 57
3 Forward Madison 28 15 6 7 50:27 51
4 One Knoxville 28 13 9 6 44:31 48
5 Athletic Club Boise 28 13 7 8 44:39 46
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 27 13 4 10 47:39 43
7 Spokane Velocity 25 13 4 8 37:33 43
8 Fort Wayne 27 10 8 9 42:36 38
9 Corpus Christi FC 27 9 9 9 32:37 36
10 Sarasota Paradise 27 9 6 12 37:40 33
11 AV Alta FC 28 8 8 12 34:40 32
12 FC Naples 27 9 4 14 30:43 31
13 Westchester SC 28 8 6 14 46:45 30
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 28 7 9 12 40:50 30
15 New York Cosmos 27 7 4 16 35:54 25
16 Greenville Triumph 27 6 5 16 30:51 23
17 Richmond Kickers 27 5 5 17 27:56 20
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