Sport Picks
Spokane Velocity vs Fort Wayne Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
USL League One One Spokane Stadium, Spokane, WA 
Match Events
15'
15'
Thomas J.
21'
21'
Mensah M.
58'
58'
Vinyals N.
AI Match Summary
Spokane Velocity in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spokane Velocity.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Spokane Velocity
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Spokane Velocity have won more games recently than Fort Wayne.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 13%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spokane Velocity | Fort Wayne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Fort Wayne
3:1
Jul 4, 2026 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs Spokane Velocity
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spokane Velocity Compare
Top Goalscorer John-Brown S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gil L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Fort Wayne Compare
Top Goalscorer Thomas J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spokane Velocity 30 / 100
Fort Wayne 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spokane Velocity Fort Wayne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spokane Velocity Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Spokane Velocity scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Fort Wayne let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Spokane Velocity remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Spokane Velocity VS Fort Wayne
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Spokane Velocity
(Home) 04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
23 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1 Greenville Triumph
16 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 3 Corpus Christi FC
13 Aug
Spokane Velocity
1 : 2 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 4
Fort Wayne
(Away) 03 Oct
Fort Wayne
0 : 0 Forward Madison
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2 FC Naples
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
29 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Fort Wayne
09 Aug
AV Alta FC
3 : 0 Fort Wayne
26 Jul
Spokane Velocity
3 : 1 Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50:27 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 46:34 | 48 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 42:36 | 39 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 32:40 | 36 |
| 10 | FC Naples | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 32:44 | 34 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48:46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43:53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36:56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:58 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
