Sport Picks
Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One One Spokane Stadium, Spokane, WA 
Match Events
27'
27'
Bubb Z.
Own Goal
30'
30'
Opara L.
Assist: Waldeck D.
34'
34'
Seagrist P.
AI Match Summary
Spokane Velocity in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spokane Velocity.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spokane Velocity
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Spokane Velocity have won more games recently than Greenville Triumph.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Spokane Velocity taking it.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 20%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spokane Velocity | Greenville Triumph |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity
0:4
Oct 13, 2024 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph
2:3
May 26, 2024 USL Cup
Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spokane Velocity Compare
Top Goalscorer Opara L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Greenville Triumph Compare
Top Goalscorer Patti A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spokane Velocity 85 / 100
Greenville Triumph 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spokane Velocity Greenville Triumph
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spokane Velocity Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Greenville Triumph let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.
Greenville Triumph lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Spokane Velocity scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Spokane Velocity VS Greenville Triumph
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Spokane Velocity
(Home) 04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
23 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1 Greenville Triumph
16 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 3 Corpus Christi FC
13 Aug
Spokane Velocity
1 : 2 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 4
Greenville Triumph
(Away) 03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0 Greenville Triumph
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0 Greenville Triumph
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1 Greenville Triumph
23 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1 Greenville Triumph
13 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50:27 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:37 | 42 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48:46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43:53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36:56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
