Sport Picks
Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville
USA
USL League One One Spokane Stadium, Spokane, WA 
Match Events
33'
33'
McRobb F.
Assist: Baker T.
37'
37'
Baker T.
Assist: Linhares K.
46'
46'
Sub
Brett N. In: Covi I.
Out: Brett N.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Spokane Velocity and One Knoxville finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward One Knoxville.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: One Knoxville
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- One Knoxville's 1.71 goals per match outpaces what Spokane Velocity have produced (1.41).
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 16%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spokane Velocity | One Knoxville |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville
0:4
Nov 16, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville
2:2
Oct 27, 2024 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spokane Velocity Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
One Knoxville Compare
Top Goalscorer McRobb F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baker T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spokane Velocity 36 / 100
One Knoxville 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spokane Velocity One Knoxville
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick One Knoxville Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
One Knoxville has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Spokane Velocity found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Spokane Velocity remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Spokane Velocity VS One Knoxville
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Spokane Velocity
(Home) 30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1 Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
23 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1 Greenville Triumph
16 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 3 Corpus Christi FC
13 Aug
Spokane Velocity
1 : 2 Colorado Springs
26 Jul
Spokane Velocity
3 : 1 Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 3
One Knoxville
(Away) 20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 FC Naples
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
15 Aug
Greenville Triumph
1 : 1 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 64:40 | 57 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50:27 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 44:31 | 47 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 47:39 | 43 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 37:33 | 43 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 42:36 | 38 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:37 | 36 |
| 10 | Sarasota Paradise | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 37:40 | 33 |
| 11 | AV Alta FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34:40 | 32 |
| 12 | FC Naples | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 30:43 | 31 |
| 13 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 40:50 | 30 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 46:45 | 29 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:51 | 23 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 32:52 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 25:53 | 20 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
