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Stadium Background

Spokane Velocity vs Richmond Kickers

USA USA

USL League One One Spokane Stadium, Spokane, WA
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Alexandre M.
Assist: Opara L.
16' Event
Denton J.
34' Event
Pannholzer T.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Spokane Velocity and Richmond Kickers finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spokane Velocity.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Spokane Velocity
30%
Draws
16%
Richmond Kickers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spokane Velocity

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Spokane Velocity carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Spokane Velocity are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spokane Velocity have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 20%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spokane Velocity Richmond Kickers
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.39 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Spokane Velocity
0:2
Apr 12, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Richmond Kickers
3:1
Jun 21, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Spokane Velocity
0:1
May 18, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Richmond Kickers
1:0
Aug 29, 2024 USL Cup
Richmond Kickers vs Spokane Velocity
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spokane Velocity Compare

Top Goalscorer Alexandre M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Denton J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Richmond Kickers Compare

Top Goalscorer Pannholzer T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spokane Velocity 67 / 100
Richmond Kickers 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spokane Velocity Richmond Kickers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spokane Velocity Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Richmond Kickers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Spokane Velocity's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Spokane Velocity remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spokane Velocity VS Richmond Kickers
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spokane Velocity

(Home)
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1
Spokane Velocity
29 Aug
Westchester SC
1 : 3
Spokane Velocity
23 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1
Greenville Triumph
16 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 3
Corpus Christi FC
13 Aug
Spokane Velocity
1 : 2
Colorado Springs
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Richmond Kickers

(Away)
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
02 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
29 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Forward Madison
22 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
16 Aug
Union Omaha
5 : 1
Richmond Kickers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 25 16 4 5 60:37 52
2 Union Omaha 26 16 4 6 45:28 52
3 Forward Madison 25 14 6 5 47:25 48
4 Athletic Club Boise 25 13 5 7 40:34 44
5 One Knoxville 25 12 8 5 40:27 44
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 24 12 3 9 45:37 39
7 Spokane Velocity 22 12 3 7 33:28 39
8 Fort Wayne 24 10 6 8 37:30 36
9 AV Alta FC 27 8 8 11 34:37 32
10 Corpus Christi FC 25 7 9 9 29:36 30
11 Portland Hearts of Pine 26 7 8 11 38:45 29
12 FC Naples 25 8 3 14 27:41 27
13 Sarasota Paradise 25 7 6 12 27:39 27
14 Westchester SC 25 6 5 14 39:42 23
15 Greenville Triumph 24 6 5 13 29:41 23
16 New York Cosmos 25 6 4 15 31:50 22
17 Richmond Kickers 24 5 5 14 22:46 20
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)