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Sport Ancash vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Sport Ancash advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sport Ancash
6%
Draws
90%
Deportivo Garcilaso
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Garcilaso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Garcilaso come out ahead of Sport Ancash on wins alone.
  • Model gives Deportivo Garcilaso a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Deportivo Garcilaso arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sport Ancash, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sport Ancash Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Ancash Deportivo Garcilaso
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2019 Copa Peru
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Ancash
3:0
Oct 27, 2019 Copa Peru
Sport Ancash vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Ancash 10 / 100
Deportivo Garcilaso 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Ancash Deportivo Garcilaso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Ancash scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Deportivo Garcilaso let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Deportivo Garcilaso lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Deportivo Garcilaso
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Ancash

(Home)
03 Nov
Deportivo Garcilaso
3 : 0
Sport Ancash
27 Oct
Sport Ancash
2 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
17 Nov
Sport Loreto
2 : 2
Sport Ancash
11 Nov
Sport Ancash
1 : 4
Union Huaral
05 Nov
Sport Boys
6 : 0
Sport Ancash
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Garcilaso

(Away)
17 Jul
Sporting Cristal
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
12 Jul
Moquegua
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
29 Jun
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1
Binacional
21 Jun
Cienciano
2 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
14 Jun
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 0
Cusco
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Nacional FBC2
Comerciantes FC4
Esc.Futbol JTR1
Sport Estrella4
Carlos Stein3
Miguel Grau3
Credicoop San Cristobal5
Octavio Espinoza de Ica1
Llacuabamba3
Las Palmas2
Deportivo Garcilaso4
Sport Ancash2
Juv.Municipal1
AD Tarma2
Chavelines7
Huanta3
Final
Comerciantes FC4
Sport Estrella5
Carlos Stein4
Credicoop San Cristobal4
Llacuabamba3
Deportivo Garcilaso1
AD Tarma2
Chavelines4