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Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Miguel Grau
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Sub
Riojas H. In: Alfani R.
Out: Riojas H.
37'
Franco E.
46'
Sub
Aranda S. In: Llontop M.
Out: Aranda S.

AI Match Summary

Sport Boys in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sport Boys
28%
Draws
22%
Atletico Grau
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sport Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sport Boys have won more games recently than Atletico Grau.
  • Win probability leans Sport Boys's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Boys Atletico Grau
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau
1:0
Sep 23, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys
3:3
Sep 14, 2024 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau
0:0
Apr 5, 2024 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Urruti L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Atletico Grau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Boys 59 / 100
Atletico Grau 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Boys Atletico Grau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Sport Boys remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Sport Boys found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Atletico Grau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sport Boys VS Atletico Grau
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016