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Sport-ES vs Pinheiros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba 2 game between Sport-ES and Pinheiros finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport-ES.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sport-ES
15%
Draws
0%
Pinheiros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport-ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sport-ES come out ahead of Pinheiros on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Sport-ES taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sport-ES have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sport-ES Clean Sheet 20%
Pinheiros Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport-ES Pinheiros
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 2 2
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1.16 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Capixaba 2
Sport-ES vs Pinheiros
4:1
Jul 17, 2026 Capixaba 2
Pinheiros vs Sport-ES
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Capixaba 2
Pinheiros vs Sport-ES
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport-ES 85 / 100
Pinheiros 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport-ES Pinheiros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport-ES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinheiros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Away concern: Pinheiros has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sport-ES's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sport-ES VS Pinheiros
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport-ES

(Home)
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Rive
2 : 0
Sport-ES
19 Aug
Tupy
1 : 0
Sport-ES
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
02 Aug
Estrela do Norte
2 : 0
Sport-ES
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Pinheiros

(Away)
29 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Rive
19 Aug
Pinheiros
0 : 5
Estrela do Norte
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
08 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Tupy
01 Aug
Rive
3 : 2
Pinheiros
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linhares Futebol Clube 8 6 0 2 22:2 18
2 Audax Sao Mateus 8 5 1 2 15:5 16
3 GEL 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
4 Doze Futebol Clube 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
5 CTE Colatina 8 0 1 7 1:29 1
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estrela do Norte 8 7 1 0 21:1 22
2 Rive 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Tupy 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Sport-ES 8 3 0 5 10:9 9
5 Pinheiros 8 0 0 8 5:27 0
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)