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Sport-ES vs Real Noroeste - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2016
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Capixaba 2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Sport-ES
35%
Draws
45%
Real Noroeste
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Noroeste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Noroeste have won more games recently than Sport-ES.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sport-ES Clean Sheet 20%
Real Noroeste Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport-ES Real Noroeste
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 9 13
Draws 2 8
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Sport-ES vs Real Noroeste
2:1
May 22, 2024 Copa Espirito Santo
Sport-ES vs Real Noroeste
0:4
Mar 12, 2016 Capixaba
Real Noroeste vs Sport-ES
2:1
Feb 20, 2016 Capixaba
Sport-ES vs Real Noroeste
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport-ES 32 / 100
Real Noroeste 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport-ES Real Noroeste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Noroeste Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Noroeste's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 36 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Sport-ES scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Sport-ES stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport-ES VS Real Noroeste
1 Goals Scored 0.83
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.83
50% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport-ES

(Home)
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Rive
2 : 0
Sport-ES
19 Aug
Tupy
1 : 0
Sport-ES
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
02 Aug
Estrela do Norte
2 : 0
Sport-ES
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Real Noroeste

(Away)
14 Jun
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Democrata GV
30 May
Vitoria ES
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
23 May
Tombense
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
16 May
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Rio Branco ES
09 May
Porto-BA
1 : 2
Real Noroeste
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 8 5 2 1 10:5 17
2 Real Noroeste 8 4 3 1 7:4 15
3 Linhares Futebol Clube 8 4 0 4 7:8 12
4 SAO Mateus 8 2 1 5 5:8 7
5 Sport-ES 8 1 2 5 5:9 5
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Second stage)
Relegation - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Ferroviaria 8 5 3 0 10:3 18
2 Galatas 8 3 3 2 6:2 12
3 CA Itapemirim 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
4 Estrela do Norte 8 2 2 4 4:7 8
5 Doze Futebol Clube 8 1 2 5 1:10 5
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Second stage)
Relegation - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Relegation Group)