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Sport Recife U20 vs Belo Jardim U20

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Pernambucano U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Recife U20 play Belo Jardim U20 in the Pernambucano U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sport Recife U20 averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Belo Jardim U20 averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, Sport Recife U20 won 1, Belo Jardim U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 11, 2024 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Sport Recife U20 and 1.13 for Belo Jardim U20. This points to a Sport Recife U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Sport Recife U20
15%
Draws
32%
Belo Jardim U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Recife U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Sport Recife U20 picked up more points recently compared to Belo Jardim U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Sport Recife U20 Clean Sheet 21%
Belo Jardim U20 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Recife U20 Belo Jardim U20
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 17 5
Draws 4 2
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.77 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.42

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Pernambucano U20
Sport Recife U20 vs Belo Jardim U20
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Recife U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Breno
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dieguinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Belo Jardim U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Recife U20 52 / 100
Belo Jardim U20 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Recife U20 Belo Jardim U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Recife U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sport Recife U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sport Recife U20 attacking → ← attacking Belo Jardim U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Recife U20 scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Belo Jardim U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Sport Recife U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Belo Jardim U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 17
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nautico U20871040:522
2Santa Cruz U20862023:520
3Sete de Setembro (PE) U20842213:1114
4CA Porto U20832314:1011
5Ibis Sport Club U20832313:1111
6Aguia FC U20831412:1610
7Jaguar U2082154:157
8Santa Fe U2081164:164
9Serrano PE U2081076:403
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Retro U20870121:621
2Sport Recife U20861121:619
3Petrolina U20851216:1016
4Belo Jardim U20842215:1214
5Atletico Torres U20841313:713
6Central SC U20822414:208
7Ipojuca U2082154:77
8America PE U20812511:165
9Centro Limoeirense U2080086:370