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Sport Recife vs Academica Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Gustavo Maia
36'
Paulo Ricardo
46'
Sub
Max Alves In: Ze Roberto
Out: Max Alves

AI Match Summary

Sport Recife in this Pernambucano matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Recife.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sport Recife
39%
Draws
31%
Academica Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sport Recife have won more games recently than Academica Vitoria.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Pernambucano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sport Recife have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 68%
Academica Vitoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Recife Academica Vitoria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Academica Vitoria
3:0
Apr 15, 2021 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Academica Vitoria
3:0
Jul 29, 2020 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Academica Vitoria
1:0
Jan 23, 2020 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Academica Vitoria
1:1
Jan 23, 2019 Pernambucano
Academica Vitoria vs Sport Recife
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Recife Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Coutinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcelo Ajul
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Academica Vitoria Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Recife 41 / 100
Academica Vitoria 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Recife Academica Vitoria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Recife found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Academica Vitoria let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Sport Recife went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Recife VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nautico760119:418
2Sport Recife742115:814
3Retro73228:511
4Santa Cruz731312:810
5Decisao73048:179
6Maguary723210:109
7Academica Vitoria71157:144
8Jaguar70345:183