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Sport Recife vs Afogados da Ingazeira

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2024 Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Danilo Dantas
22'
Sub
Riquelme In: Felipinho
Out: Riquelme
25' Event
Pedro Vilhena

AI Match Summary

Sport Recife in this Pernambucano 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Recife.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sport Recife
28%
Draws
22%
Afogados da Ingazeira
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sport Recife

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sport Recife lately — more wins on the board than Afogados da Ingazeira.
  • Model gives Sport Recife a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 68%
Afogados da Ingazeira Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Recife Afogados da Ingazeira
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 Pernambucano
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Sport Recife
1:1
Jan 29, 2024 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Afogados da Ingazeira
2:0
Feb 1, 2023 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Afogados da Ingazeira
4:1
Feb 13, 2022 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Afogados da Ingazeira
1:1
Apr 7, 2021 Pernambucano
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Sport Recife
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Recife Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Vilhena
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Afogados da Ingazeira Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Recife 59 / 100
Afogados da Ingazeira 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Recife Afogados da Ingazeira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Recife found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Afogados da Ingazeira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Sport Recife has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sport Recife VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Recife

(Home)
22 Jul
Goias
1 : 1
Sport Recife
18 Jul
Sport Recife
2 : 2
Operario-PR
10 Jul
Sport Recife
3 : 3
Botafogo SP
04 Jul
Criciuma
1 : 0
Sport Recife
28 Jun
Fortaleza
2 : 1
Sport Recife
Page 1 of 7

Afogados da Ingazeira

(Away)
22 Feb
Jaguar
1 : 0
Afogados da Ingazeira
15 Feb
Afogados da Ingazeira
1 : 1
Maguary
09 Feb
Nautico
4 : 0
Afogados da Ingazeira
05 Feb
Decisao
1 : 1
Afogados da Ingazeira
29 Jan
Afogados da Ingazeira
1 : 1
Central SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sport Recife970216:721
2Retro962116:320
3Nautico962112:420
4Santa Cruz961216:719
5Central SC933314:1512
6Afogados da Ingazeira931513:2110
7Maguary924312:1010
8Petrolina92439:1010
9CA Porto91089:233
10Flamengo Arcoverde90188:251
Promotion - Pernambucano 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pernambucano 2024 (Play Offs)