Sport Picks
Sport Recife vs Athletic Club
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho 
AI Match Summary
Sport Recife play Athletic Club in the Serie B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sport Recife averaged 1.45 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Athletic Club averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. In past meetings, Sport Recife won 0, Athletic Club won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 11, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Sport Recife and 0.81 for Athletic Club. This points to a Sport Recife double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sport Recife picked up more points recently compared to Athletic Club.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 0.81 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sport Recife | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sport Recife Compare
Athletic Club Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sport Recife scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Athletic Club let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Sport Recife went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Athletic Club lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 31 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 27:14 | 30 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17:8 | 29 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 6 | Operario-PR | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 28 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 21:15 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Bernardo | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 9 | Goias | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | 24 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 12:9 | 23 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 16:16 | 22 |
| 12 | Nautico | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21:19 | 21 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18:19 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 15 | CRB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:29 | 19 |
| 16 | Londrina | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 24:24 | 18 |
| 17 | Ceara | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:20 | 17 |
| 18 | Avai | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11:33 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10:27 | 6 |