Sport Picks
Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho 
AI Match Summary
Sport Recife host Botafogo SP in the Serie B. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Botafogo SP have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Sport Recife have conceded 0.88 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Sport Recife have won 3 to Botafogo SP's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 20, 2024, ending 3:1. xG projections (0.94 - 0.69) back Sport Recife to edge this. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sport Recife carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Sport Recife's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sport Recife | Botafogo SP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sport Recife scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Botafogo SP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Sport Recife has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:14 | 27 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20:12 | 25 |
| 5 | EC Juventude | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 16:8 | 25 |
| 6 | Operario-PR | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 25 |
| 7 | Fortaleza | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | 25 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 18:11 | 25 |
| 9 | Athletic Club | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 16:15 | 22 |
| 10 | Goias | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | 21 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:16 | 21 |
| 12 | Nautico | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 11:9 | 20 |
| 14 | CRB | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24:24 | 19 |
| 15 | Ceara | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | 17 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 17 | Londrina | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19:24 | 15 |
| 18 | Avai | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15:21 | 13 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10:29 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10:26 | 6 |