Sport Picks
Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife 
Match Events
25'
25'
Hugo J.
Assist: Everton Morelli
27'
27'
Rafael Gava
30'
30'
Claudio Tencati
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between Sport Recife and Botafogo SP finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Recife
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sport Recife carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Sport Recife's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 68%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sport Recife | Botafogo SP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 10, 2026 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP
3:3
Oct 20, 2024 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP
3:1
Jun 29, 2024 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife
1:1
Sep 3, 2023 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife
1:1
May 20, 2023 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sport Recife Compare
Top Goalscorer Chrystian Barletta
1 Goals Assists Leader Benevenuto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Botafogo SP Compare
Top Goalscorer Hugo J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Patrick Brey
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sport Recife 50 / 100
Botafogo SP 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sport Recife Botafogo SP
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sport Recife Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sport Recife scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.
Botafogo SP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Sport Recife has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sport Recife VS Botafogo SP
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sport Recife
(Home) 01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2 Sport Recife
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1 Sport Recife
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1 EC Juventude
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1 Sport Recife
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1 EC Juventude
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
24 Aug
Sport Recife
3 : 0 America MG
14 Aug
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Londrina
27 Jul
Sport Recife
1 : 1 Cuiaba
Page 1 of 3
Botafogo SP
(Away) 03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1 Vila Nova FC
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Goias
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Novorizontino
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0 Botafogo SP
25 Aug
Atletico GO
3 : 0 Botafogo SP
14 Aug
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1 Botafogo SP
29 Jul
Fortaleza
1 : 0 Botafogo SP
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 35:19 | 56 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52:27 | 54 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 53 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36:27 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 39:27 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 46:44 | 48 |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43:41 | 48 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:33 | 47 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 32:25 | 46 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:32 | 45 |
| 12 | Goias | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 30:39 | 42 |
| 13 | Nautico | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:38 | 42 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 37:35 | 42 |
| 15 | Ceara | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34:39 | 39 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:37 | 35 |
| 17 | Avai | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 30:42 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 39:45 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21:52 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 31 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 17:66 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
