Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sport Recife vs Cuiaba

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Pedro Martins
33'
Sub
Pedro Martins In: Hernandez D.
Out: Pedro Martins
33'
David Miguel

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Sport Recife and Cuiaba finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sport Recife
20%
Draws
38%
Cuiaba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sport Recife

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Sport Recife carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sport Recife a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 19%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Recife Cuiaba
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 11 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Cuiaba
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Sport Recife
0:0
Oct 14, 2021 Serie A Betano
Cuiaba vs Sport Recife
1:0
Jun 27, 2021 Serie A Betano
Sport Recife vs Cuiaba
0:0
Oct 14, 2019 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Cuiaba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Recife Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Perotti
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cuiaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabio Gomes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Recife 42 / 100
Cuiaba 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Recife Cuiaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sport Recife scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Cuiaba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Sport Recife remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sport Recife VS Cuiaba
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Recife

(Home)
22 Jul
Goias
1 : 1
Sport Recife
18 Jul
Sport Recife
2 : 2
Operario-PR
10 Jul
Sport Recife
3 : 3
Botafogo SP
04 Jul
Criciuma
1 : 0
Sport Recife
28 Jun
Fortaleza
2 : 1
Sport Recife
Page 1 of 7

Cuiaba

(Away)
23 Jul
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Atletico GO
17 Jul
EC Juventude
2 : 0
Cuiaba
12 Jul
Sao Bernardo
2 : 2
Cuiaba
02 Jul
Cuiaba
1 : 0
America MG
25 Jun
Cuiaba
2 : 2
Londrina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma20117223:1240
2Operario-PR19105427:2235
3Vila Nova FC19104527:2234
4Novorizontino2096532:1933
5EC Juventude1995521:1232
6Fortaleza1994622:1931
7Goias2085721:2629
8Atletico GO1977520:1928
9Sport Recife19610324:1828
10Sao Bernardo2076728:2327
11Athletic Club1969418:1727
12CRB1975729:3226
13Nautico2074924:2425
14Botafogo SP1966724:2024
15Cuiaba1959514:1424
16Ceara2057820:2522
17Londrina20551027:3120
18Avai1955921:2620
19America MG20251314:3111
20Ponte Preta19221514:388
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)