Sport Picks
Sport Recife vs Cuiaba
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife 
Match Events
24'
24'
Pedro Martins
33'
33'
Sub
Pedro Martins In: Hernandez D.
Out: Pedro Martins
33'
33'
David Miguel
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between Sport Recife and Cuiaba finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
15%
58%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cuiaba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sport Recife's 1.32 goals per match outpaces what Cuiaba have produced (1.29).
- Model gives Cuiaba a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 16%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sport Recife | Cuiaba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 27, 2026 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Cuiaba
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Sport Recife
0:0
Oct 14, 2021 Serie A Betano
Cuiaba vs Sport Recife
1:0
Jun 27, 2021 Serie A Betano
Sport Recife vs Cuiaba
0:0
Oct 14, 2019 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Cuiaba
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sport Recife Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedro Perotti
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Cuiaba Compare
Top Goalscorer Fabio Gomes
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sport Recife 15 / 100
Cuiaba 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sport Recife Cuiaba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sport Recife scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Cuiaba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Sport Recife remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sport Recife VS Cuiaba
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sport Recife
(Home) 19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1 EC Juventude
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1 Sport Recife
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
05 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Sport Recife
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Sport Recife
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1 EC Juventude
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
24 Aug
Sport Recife
3 : 0 America MG
14 Aug
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Londrina
27 Jul
Sport Recife
1 : 1 Cuiaba
Page 1 of 3
Cuiaba
(Away) 22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Nautico
17 Sept
Cuiaba
4 : 0 Sorriso EC
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1 Cuiaba
13 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 2 Cuiaba
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1 Cuiaba
13 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 2 Cuiaba
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0 Cuiaba
29 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 2 Cuiaba
15 Aug
Ceara
1 : 3 Cuiaba
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 51 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 51 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 50 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 50 |
| 5 | Operario-PR | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 47 |
| 7 | Atletico GO | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 46 |
| 8 | CRB | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 45 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 44 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 30:22 | 43 |
| 11 | Goias | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 41 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 41 |
| 14 | Nautico | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:36 | 38 |
| 15 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | 32 |
| 17 | Avai | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
