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Sport Recife vs Londrina

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife
Fri, Aug 14, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Recife host Londrina in the Serie B. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Sport Recife have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Londrina's 1.63 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Sport Recife slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.44, favoring Sport Recife. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sport Recife
44%
Draws
20%
Londrina
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Sport Recife have won more games recently than Londrina.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sport Recife have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 16%
Londrina Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Recife Londrina
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 12 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Serie B
Londrina vs Sport Recife
1:2
Sep 23, 2023 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Londrina
4:0
Jun 4, 2023 Serie B
Londrina vs Sport Recife
1:2
Oct 22, 2022 Serie B
Londrina vs Sport Recife
2:1
Jul 9, 2022 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Londrina
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Recife 36 / 100
Londrina 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Recife Londrina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Recife found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Londrina has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sport Recife remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sport Recife VS Londrina
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Recife

(Home)
27 Jul
Sport Recife
1 : 1
Cuiaba
22 Jul
Goias
1 : 1
Sport Recife
18 Jul
Sport Recife
2 : 2
Operario-PR
10 Jul
Sport Recife
3 : 3
Botafogo SP
04 Jul
Criciuma
1 : 0
Sport Recife
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Londrina

(Away)
26 Jul
Londrina
1 : 4
Novorizontino
23 Jul
Nautico
2 : 1
Londrina
18 Jul
Londrina
0 : 0
Botafogo SP
13 Jul
America MG
1 : 1
Londrina
04 Jul
Londrina
5 : 0
CRB
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma20117223:1240
2EC Juventude20105522:1235
3Operario-PR20105528:2535
4Vila Nova FC20104627:2434
5Novorizontino2096532:1933
6Fortaleza1994622:1931
7Atletico GO2087523:2031
8CRB2085731:3229
9Goias2085721:2629
10Sport Recife20611325:1929
11Athletic Club20610419:1828
12Sao Bernardo2076728:2327
13Nautico2074924:2425
14Cuiaba20510515:1525
15Botafogo SP1966724:2024
16Ceara2057820:2522
17Londrina20551027:3120
18Avai20551021:2720
19America MG20251314:3111
20Ponte Preta20231515:399
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)