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Sport Recife vs Londrina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Hernandez D.
Assist: Clayson
30' Event
Joao Vitor
Assist: Kaue Leonardo
42'
Sub
Chrystian Barletta In: Marlon Douglas
Out: Chrystian Barletta

AI Match Summary

Sport Recife in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Recife.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sport Recife
15%
Draws
21%
Londrina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Recife

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Sport Recife have won more games recently than Londrina.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sport Recife have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 68%
Londrina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Recife Londrina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.41 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Londrina
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Serie B
Londrina vs Sport Recife
1:2
Sep 23, 2023 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Londrina
4:0
Jun 4, 2023 Serie B
Londrina vs Sport Recife
1:2
Oct 22, 2022 Serie B
Londrina vs Sport Recife
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Recife Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Londrina Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Vitor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Recife 41 / 100
Londrina 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Recife Londrina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Recife Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Recife found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Londrina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Sport Recife remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sport Recife VS Londrina
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Recife

(Home)
06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2
Sport Recife
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1
Sport Recife
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1
EC Juventude
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1
Sport Recife
Page 1 of 6

Londrina

(Away)
07 Oct
Avai
2 : 1
Londrina
02 Oct
Londrina
0 : 2
Criciuma
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Londrina
20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Fortaleza
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 32 17 8 7 37:19 59
2 Vila Nova FC 32 17 7 8 44:31 58
3 Novorizontino 32 16 9 7 54:27 57
4 Fortaleza 32 15 11 6 37:27 56
5 Criciuma 32 15 8 9 33:28 53
6 Atletico GO 32 14 10 8 40:30 52
7 CRB 32 15 6 11 49:45 51
8 Sport Recife 32 13 11 8 44:34 50
9 Operario-PR 32 13 9 10 44:43 48
10 Cuiaba 32 11 14 7 32:25 47
11 Goias 32 13 6 13 32:40 45
12 Sao Bernardo 32 12 9 11 44:34 45
13 Nautico 32 11 9 12 39:40 42
14 Ceara 32 11 9 12 35:39 42
15 Athletic Club 32 10 12 10 38:37 42
16 Botafogo SP 32 10 8 14 36:38 38
17 Avai 32 9 6 17 32:43 33
18 Londrina 32 7 7 18 40:47 28
19 America MG 32 4 5 23 21:53 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 3 4 25 17:68 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)