Sport Picks

Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2018

Mindelense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sport Sal-Rei play Mindelense in the Campeonato Nacional 2018. Mindelense are favorites here. Recently, Sport Sal-Rei averaged 0.74 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. Mindelense averaged 1.49 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. In past meetings, Sport Sal-Rei won 0, Mindelense won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2018 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Sport Sal-Rei and 1.00 for Mindelense. This points to a Mindelense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

Sport Sal-Rei

25%

Draws

60%

Mindelense

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Mindelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Sport Sal-Rei picked up more points recently compared to Mindelense.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Sport Sal-Rei Clean Sheet 23%

Mindelense Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sport Sal-Rei	Mindelense
Matches Played	27	51
Wins	2	24
Draws	5	16
Losses	20	11
Goals Scored	0.74	1.49
Goals Conceded	1.74	0.86
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.40	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2018 Campeonato Nacional

Sport Sal-Rei vs Mindelense

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Apr 14, 2018 Campeonato Nacional

Mindelense vs Sport Sal-Rei

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Jun 4, 2016 Campeonato Nacional

Mindelense vs Sport Sal-Rei

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

5:2

May 28, 2011 Campeonato Nacional

Mindelense vs Sport Sal-Rei

Possession: 42% - 40% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sal-Rei 18 / 100

Mindelense 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sport Sal-Rei Mindelense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mindelense Win (2)

Secondary Pick Mindelense & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sport Sal-Rei attacking → ← attacking Mindelense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Sal-Rei scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Mindelense let in goals in 53% of their last 51 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Sport Sal-Rei went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mindelense lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 88

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

1.40 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Academica Praia	6	3	2	1	6:4	11
2	Mindelense	6	2	4	0	6:4	10
3	Academica Porto Novo	6	2	2	2	8:7	8
4	Sport Sal-Rei	6	0	2	4	5:10	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Foguetoes	6	3	2	1	5:4	11
2	Belo Horizonte	6	2	3	1	9:5	9
3	Scorpion Vermelho	6	2	3	1	8:6	9
4	Morabeza	6	1	0	5	4:11	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeira	6	3	1	2	8:7	10
2	Sporting Praia	6	2	2	2	5:5	8
3	Vulcanico	6	2	2	2	4:4	8
4	Barreirense	6	1	3	2	7:8	6