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Sport Sal-Rei vs Scorpion Vermelho

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Lopes Morais H. H.
90' Event
Lopes Morais H. H.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2025 game between Sport Sal-Rei and Scorpion Vermelho finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Sal-Rei.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sport Sal-Rei
17%
Draws
13%
Scorpion Vermelho
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sport Sal-Rei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Scorpion Vermelho carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sport Sal-Rei's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sport Sal-Rei Clean Sheet 20%
Scorpion Vermelho Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Sal-Rei Scorpion Vermelho
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 2 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.29 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.29 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Sport Sal-Rei vs Scorpion Vermelho
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Sal-Rei Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes Morais H. H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Scorpion Vermelho Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sal-Rei 67 / 100
Scorpion Vermelho 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Sal-Rei Scorpion Vermelho

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scorpion Vermelho let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sport Sal-Rei scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Scorpion Vermelho registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Sal-Rei VS Scorpion Vermelho
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.29 Goals Conceded 2
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boavista da Praia641112:313
2Palmeira63309:412
3Sanjoanenses63306:212
4Paulense63219:511
5Mindelense624012:810
6Academica Praia62226:88
7Sport Sal-Rei61235:75
8Ultramarina61233:95
9Scorpion Vermelho60245:142
10Botafogo60151:81