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Sport Sebaco vs Managua FC

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Small C.
90' Event
Veron M.

AI Match Summary

Managua FC in this Liga Primera 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Managua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sport Sebaco
39%
Draws
31%
Managua FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Managua FC have won more games recently than Sport Sebaco.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Managua FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Sport Sebaco Clean Sheet 68%
Managua FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Sebaco Managua FC
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 2 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Managua FC
0:2
Jan 26, 2026 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs Sport Sebaco
1:0
Sep 29, 2025 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs Sport Sebaco
4:2
Jul 22, 2025 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Managua FC
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs Sport Sebaco
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Sebaco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Managua FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Small C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Veron M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sebaco 41 / 100
Managua FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Sebaco Managua FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Sebaco went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sport Sebaco scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Managua FC conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sport Sebaco VS Managua FC
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Sebaco

(Home)
25 Jul
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
San Marcos
19 Jul
Matagalpa
0 : 3
Sport Sebaco
12 Jul
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Diriangen
05 Jul
Diriangen
1 : 2
Sport Sebaco
25 Apr
UNAN-Managua
1 : 3
Sport Sebaco
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Managua FC

(Away)
26 Jul
Managua FC
3 : 0
Jalapa
19 Jul
Managua FC
2 : 1
Rancho Santana
12 Jul
Managua FC
2 : 0
Rancho Santana
05 Jul
Rancho Santana
2 : 3
Managua FC
30 Apr
Managua FC
2 : 4
Matagalpa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diriangen18123340:1939
2Esteli18114341:1937
3Jalapa1896329:1633
4Managua FC1885522:1829
5Matagalpa1857630:2422
6Walter Ferreti1856718:2821
7Sport Sebaco18621023:2420
8UNAN-Managua18441021:3416
9Rancho Santana18441020:4316
10Real Madriz18431114:3315
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)