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Sport Sebaco vs San Marcos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Herrera W.
41' Event
Quinones J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera game between Sport Sebaco and San Marcos finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sport Sebaco
15%
Draws
76%
San Marcos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Marcos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sport Sebaco come out ahead of San Marcos on wins alone.
  • Model gives San Marcos a 76% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sport Sebaco Clean Sheet 20%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Sebaco San Marcos
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs San Marcos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Sebaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrera W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

San Marcos Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinones J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sebaco 10 / 100
San Marcos 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Sebaco San Marcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Marcos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Marcos conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Sport Sebaco found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Sport Sebaco has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sport Sebaco VS San Marcos
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Sebaco

(Home)
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
30 Aug
Sport Sebaco
0 : 5
Esteli
22 Aug
Managua FC
6 : 1
Sport Sebaco
Page 1 of 6

San Marcos

(Away)
07 Oct
San Marcos
1 : 2
Diriangen
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
03 Sept
Esteli
2 : 0
San Marcos
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
23 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 2
San Marcos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 10 8 2 0 33:10 26
2 Diriangen 10 8 2 0 22:7 26
3 UNAN-Managua 10 6 2 2 12:7 20
4 Esteli 10 5 3 2 17:7 18
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 10 3 1 6 9:16 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 10 2 2 6 14:18 8
9 Jalapa 10 1 2 7 6:16 5
10 Rancho Santana 10 1 2 7 8:20 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)