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Sport Sinop vs Caceres

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Sport Sinop advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sport Sinop
35%
Draws
25%
Caceres
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sport Sinop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sport Sinop come out ahead of Caceres on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sport Sinop taking it.
  • Sport Sinop have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sport Sinop, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Caceres have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Sport Sinop Clean Sheet 17%
Caceres Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Sinop Caceres
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 0.8 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Caceres vs Sport Sinop
3:1
Jun 30, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Sport Sinop vs Caceres
1:0
May 26, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Caceres vs Sport Sinop
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sinop 66 / 100
Caceres 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Sinop Caceres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Sinop Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caceres has conceded goals in 65% of their last 17 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sport Sinop stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sport Sinop scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Sinop VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Sinop

(Home)
22 Feb
Luverdense
2 : 2
Sport Sinop
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
0 : 1
Luverdense
12 Feb
Sport Sinop
1 : 0
Cuiaba
08 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Chapada
05 Feb
Mixto
0 : 0
Sport Sinop
Page 1 of 6

Caceres

(Away)
12 Oct
Primavera AC
2 : 2
Caceres
05 Oct
Caceres
0 : 2
Nova Mutum EC
28 Sept
Academia
3 : 2
Caceres
14 Sept
Caceres
1 : 1
Operario VG
08 Sept
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Caceres
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rondonopolis EC 0
Caceres 1
Sinop FC 6
Várzea Grande EC 2
Acao 1
Sport Sinop 2
Pocone 3
Gremio Sorriso 1
Semi-finals
Caceres 3
Sinop FC 0
Sport Sinop 4
Pocone 3
Final
Caceres 3
Sport Sinop 2