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Sport Victoria vs Defensor San Alejandro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2014 game between Sport Victoria and Defensor San Alejandro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Victoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sport Victoria
15%
Draws
85%
Defensor San Alejandro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Defensor San Alejandro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sport Victoria haven't matched Defensor San Alejandro's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Defensor San Alejandro a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Sport Victoria have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sport Victoria Clean Sheet 11%
Defensor San Alejandro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Victoria Defensor San Alejandro
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 29 11
Goals Scored 0.84 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2014 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Sport Victoria
1:2
Jul 6, 2014 Liga 2
Sport Victoria vs Defensor San Alejandro
1:0
Sep 29, 2013 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Sport Victoria
0:1
Jun 22, 2013 Liga 2
Sport Victoria vs Defensor San Alejandro
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Victoria 10 / 100
Defensor San Alejandro 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Victoria Defensor San Alejandro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensor San Alejandro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensor San Alejandro let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Away concern: Defensor San Alejandro has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sport Victoria's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 44 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Victoria VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Victoria

(Home)
09 Nov
Sport Victoria
0 : 3
Atletico Grau
02 Nov
Comerciantes Unidos
3 : 0
Sport Victoria
26 Oct
Sport Victoria
0 : 3
Sport Loreto
19 Oct
Los Chankas
3 : 0
Sport Victoria
12 Oct
Sport Victoria
0 : 3
Cienciano
Page 1 of 9

Defensor San Alejandro

(Away)
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0
Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2
Defensor San Alejandro
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Dep. Municipal
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0
Defensor San Alejandro
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Municipal 30 18 7 5 49:29 61
2 Deportivo Coopsol 30 17 7 6 53:26 58
3 Carlos Mannucci 30 17 4 9 46:32 55
4 Alianza Huanuco 30 15 8 7 51:30 53
5 Willy Serrato 30 12 10 8 44:37 46
6 Union Huaral 30 11 7 12 38:37 40
7 Defensor San Alejandro 30 10 9 11 37:37 39
8 Atl. Minero 30 10 9 11 30:40 39
9 Atletico Torino 30 9 10 11 37:34 37
10 Pacifico 30 9 8 13 33:44 35
11 Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 30 11 6 13 36:50 35
12 Sport Boys 30 8 13 9 42:47 33
13 Sport Victoria 30 7 10 13 31:38 31
14 Comerciantes Unidos 30 7 9 14 29:36 30
15 Jose Galvez 30 7 10 13 25:39 25
16 Walter Ormeno 30 4 9 17 21:46 19
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)