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Sport Victoria vs Defensor San Alejandro

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2014 game between Sport Victoria and Defensor San Alejandro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Victoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sport Victoria
6%
Draws
90%
Defensor San Alejandro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Defensor San Alejandro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sport Victoria haven't matched Defensor San Alejandro's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Defensor San Alejandro a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Sport Victoria have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sport Victoria Clean Sheet 11%
Defensor San Alejandro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Victoria Defensor San Alejandro
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 28 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 2.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2014 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Sport Victoria
1:2
Jul 6, 2014 Liga 2
Sport Victoria vs Defensor San Alejandro
1:0
Sep 29, 2013 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Sport Victoria
0:1
Jun 22, 2013 Liga 2
Sport Victoria vs Defensor San Alejandro
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Victoria 10 / 100
Defensor San Alejandro 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Victoria Defensor San Alejandro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensor San Alejandro let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Away concern: Defensor San Alejandro has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sport Victoria's goal record stands at 39% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Victoria VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Victoria

(Home)
09 Nov
Sport Victoria
0 : 3
Atletico Grau
02 Nov
Comerciantes Unidos
3 : 0
Sport Victoria
26 Oct
Sport Victoria
0 : 3
Sport Loreto
19 Oct
Los Chankas
3 : 0
Sport Victoria
12 Oct
Sport Victoria
0 : 3
Cienciano
Page 1 of 8

Defensor San Alejandro

(Away)
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0
Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2
Defensor San Alejandro
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Dep. Municipal
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0
Defensor San Alejandro
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Municipal30187549:2961
2Deportivo Coopsol30177653:2658
3Carlos Mannucci30174946:3255
4Alianza Huanuco30158751:3053
5Willy Serrato301210844:3746
6Union Huaral301171238:3740
7Defensor San Alejandro301091137:3739
8Atl. Minero301091130:4039
9Atletico Torino309101137:3437
10Pacifico30981333:4435
11Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)301161336:5035
12Sport Boys30813942:4733
13Sport Victoria307101331:3831
14Comerciantes Unidos30791429:3630
15Jose Galvez307101325:3925
16Walter Ormeno30491721:4619
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)