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Sportfreunde Duren vs Siegburger

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 game between Sportfreunde Duren and Siegburger finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siegburger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sportfreunde Duren
20%
Draws
80%
Siegburger
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Siegburger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sportfreunde Duren haven't matched Siegburger's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Siegburger a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Sportfreunde Duren Clean Sheet 10%
Siegburger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportfreunde Duren Siegburger
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 18
Draws 2 6
Losses 24 7
Goals Scored 1.37 2.45
Goals Conceded 3.43 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Sportfreunde Duren vs Siegburger
1:4
Oct 5, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs Sportfreunde Duren
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportfreunde Duren 10 / 100
Siegburger 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportfreunde Duren Siegburger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siegburger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Sportfreunde Duren scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Siegburger let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Away concern: Siegburger has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sportfreunde Duren VS Siegburger
0.83 Goals Scored 2.25
4 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 88%
67% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportfreunde Duren

(Home)
07 Jun
Sportfreunde Duren
0 : 3
FC Wegberg-Beeck
31 May
Fortuna Koln II
6 : 1
Sportfreunde Duren
25 May
Bergisch Gladbach
7 : 1
Sportfreunde Duren
17 May
Sportfreunde Duren
1 : 3
Eintracht Hohkeppel
10 May
Frechen
2 : 0
Sportfreunde Duren
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Siegburger

(Away)
27 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
3 : 1
Siegburger
20 Sept
Frechen
2 : 2
Siegburger
13 Sept
Siegburger
2 : 2
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
06 Sept
Chlodwig Zulpich
5 : 2
Siegburger
30 Aug
Siegburger
2 : 0
Merten
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)