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Sporting Bertrange vs Grevenmacher - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Grevenmacher advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sporting Bertrange
15%
Draws
57%
Grevenmacher
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grevenmacher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Grevenmacher carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Grevenmacher's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Grevenmacher arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Grevenmacher, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sporting Bertrange Clean Sheet 10%
Grevenmacher Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Bertrange Grevenmacher
Matches Played 18 32
Wins 9 13
Draws 0 1
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2.39 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.68 2.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2014 Luxembourg Cup
Sporting Bertrange vs Grevenmacher
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Bertrange 10 / 100
Grevenmacher 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Bertrange Grevenmacher

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grevenmacher Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Bertrange found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (18 games).

Grevenmacher has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Grevenmacher has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Bertrange VS Grevenmacher
1.86 Goals Scored 1.75
3.86 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Bertrange

(Home)
20 Sept
Sporting Bertrange
3 : 2
FC Marisca Mersch
06 Oct
Sporting Bertrange
1 : 7
Jeunesse Esch
02 Oct
Sporting Bertrange
1 : 8
UNA Strassen
03 Oct
Sporting Bertrange
1 : 3
Racing Luxembourg
09 Dec
Sporting Bertrange
1 : 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig
Page 1 of 4

Grevenmacher

(Away)
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
3 : 2
FC Residence Walferdange
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
0 : 3
UNA Strassen
28 Oct
Grevenmacher
2 : 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler
01 Oct
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 2
Grevenmacher
30 Oct
Grevenmacher
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Differdange -
TBD -
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Union Remich/Bous 4
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 3
Mondercange 2
Union Tetange 0
FC Rodange 91 3
Wiltz -
TBD -
FC Mamer 2
Lintgen 5
Schifflange 2
US Berdorf Consdorf 1
TBD -
Rumelange -
Luxembourg City 3
CS Petange 0
TBD -
Jeunesse Esch -
Victoria Rosport -
TBD -
Alliance Aischdall 2
Racing Luxembourg 4
Kaerjeng -
TBD -
FC Residence Walferdange 1
FC Marisca Mersch 3
Avenir Beggen 3
AS Hosingen 0
TBD -
Jeunesse Canach -
Dudelange -
TBD -
Kehlen 0
Berdenia Berbourg 2
Progres Niedercorn -
TBD -
Alisontia Steinsel 1
UNA Strassen 2
Mondorf -
TBD -
Oberkorn 2
FC Munsbach 3
Bissen 1
Erpeldange 0
TBD -
Fola -
Grevenmacher -
TBD -
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Sporting Bertrange 3
Lamadelaine 4
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Diekirch 0
Hesperange 5
Hostert -
TBD -
Mertert/Wasserbillig 2
US Sandweiler 3
AS Wincrange 2
FC Orania Vianden 1
TBD -
Ettelbruck -
1/16-finals
Differdange 4
Union Remich/Bous 1
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
FC Rodange 91 4
Wiltz 4
Lintgen 1
Schifflange 0
Rumelange 1
Luxembourg City 2
Jeunesse Esch 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Racing Luxembourg 3
Kaerjeng 2
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Avenir Beggen 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Dudelange 4
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
UNA Strassen 4
Mondorf 2
FC Munsbach 0
Bissen 1
Fola 4
Grevenmacher 3
Sporting Bertrange 1
Lamadelaine 0
Hesperange 1
Hostert 5
US Sandweiler 0
AS Wincrange 1
Ettelbruck 2
1/8-finals
Differdange 3
FC Rodange 91 0
Wiltz 3
Rumelange 4
Luxembourg City 2
Racing Luxembourg 0
Kaerjeng 1
Jeunesse Canach 3
Dudelange 1
UNA Strassen 0
Mondorf 2
Fola 4
Grevenmacher 3
Hesperange 0
Hostert 0
Ettelbruck 2
Quarter-finals
Differdange 5
Rumelange 2
Luxembourg City 0
Jeunesse Canach 1
Dudelange 3
Fola 1
Grevenmacher 1
Ettelbruck 2
Semi-finals
Differdange 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
Dudelange 4
Ettelbruck 0
Final
Differdange 2
Dudelange 1