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Sporting Cascades vs ASF Dioulasso

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade Banfora, Banfora
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bangoura K.
Assist: Sanou S.
29' Event
Kourouma M.
Assist: Cisse S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Sporting Cascades and ASF Dioulasso finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Cascades.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sporting Cascades
35%
Draws
26%
ASF Dioulasso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sporting Cascades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Cascades come out ahead of ASF Dioulasso on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Cascades taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Sporting Cascades Clean Sheet 20%
ASF Dioulasso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Cascades ASF Dioulasso
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 14 10
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 0.77 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Sporting Cascades vs ASF Dioulasso
2:0
Oct 31, 2025 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs Sporting Cascades
0:0
May 10, 2025 Premier League
Sporting Cascades vs ASF Dioulasso
1:2
Oct 14, 2024 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs Sporting Cascades
0:0
May 23, 2024 Premier League
Sporting Cascades vs ASF Dioulasso
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Cascades Compare

Top Goalscorer Bangoura K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kourouma M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

ASF Dioulasso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cascades 49 / 100
ASF Dioulasso 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Cascades ASF Dioulasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Cascades Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: ASF Dioulasso conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Sporting Cascades has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

ASF Dioulasso lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cascades VS ASF Dioulasso
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Cascades

(Home)
19 Sept
Sporting Cascades
0 : 0
CFFEB
10 May
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
4 : 2
Sporting Cascades
03 May
Sporting Cascades
2 : 1
Majestic
26 Apr
Sporting Cascades
0 : 0
Etoile Filante
17 Apr
ASFA Yennega
1 : 1
Sporting Cascades
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ASF Dioulasso

(Away)
20 Sept
Salitas
2 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
10 May
Salitas
3 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
26 Apr
ASF Dioulasso
0 : 2
Real Du Faso
18 Apr
Etoile Filante
0 : 1
ASF Dioulasso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)